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The Seventh Edition of Business Forecasting is the most practical
forecasting book on the market with the most powerful
software-Forecast X. This edition presents a broad-based survey of
business forecasting methods including subjective and objective
approaches. As always, the author team of Keating and Wilson
deliver practical how-to forecasting techniques, along with dozens
of real world data sets while theory and math are held to a
minimum.
CBA is an attempt to fully account for all costs associated with a
new proposal along with a detailed calculation of specific private
and public benefits. Properly employed, CBA is simply a method for
assessing a proposal prior to a collective decision by calculating
net benefits relative to an alternative project or the default
option of doing nothing. Cost benefit analysis (CBA) guidelines
exist in the form of highly theoretical, mathematically complex
handbooks published by international and national organizations.
These reports are generally beyond the scope of local decision
makers entrusted with evaluation of small municipal projects. This
work is an attempt to fill the gap between national and
international manuals, on the one hand, and the need of local
officials to perform or interpret CBA studies out-sourced to
consultants, on the other. Because standard statistical packages,
spreadsheets, and graphical analyses are more accessible than at
any previous time, CBA, as a tool, is more accessible for informing
decisions made in the public interest. We assume that there is some
optimal amount for public good provision that reflects, to the
degree possible, resident taxpayers' willingness to pay. Our goal
is four-fold: to discuss the economic underpinnings of cost benefit
analysis, to address measurement problems associated with shadow
pricing of public goods, to outline potential pitfalls for the
non-specialist, and, finally, to present and explain a CBA template
in reference to three cases relevant to local government decision
making.
This book covers essential elements of building and understanding
regression models within the context of business and economics. It
is a nonmathematical treatment that is accessible, even to readers
with limited statistical backgrounds. It is useful for business
professionals, MBA students and others who seek to understand
regression analysis without having to work through tedious
mathematical and statistical theory. The importance of using
regression models in modern business and economic analysis can
hardly be overstated. In this book we describe exactly how such
models can be developed and evaluated. The data used is real data
with real world business applications, not data that has been
contrived to demonstrate some purely academic point. These data are
likely to be encountered and used in the actual world of business.
In an appendix using screen shots and step by step instructions, we
include how to do use Excel to perform regression analysis. When
readers have completed this book they will understand how to build
basic mathematical models illustrating business/economic
relationships using regression analysis. In addition, they will
know how to interpret and evaluate regression models using a five
step process (which includes evaluating the model; identifying its
statistical significance; determining its explanatory power; for
time-series applications, identifying how the error terms are
distributed; and understanding the concept of multicollinearity).
Readers will understand what is possible and what to look for in
evaluating regression models. It is unlikely that most readers will
build such models in the course of carrying out their own
professional responsibilities, but it is very likely that they
will, at some point in their careers, be exposed to such models.
This book will help such readers understand models that someone
else has developed.
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