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"The Four Filters Invention of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger" examines each of the steps that Buffett and Munger perform in "framing and making" an investment decision. This book is a focused look into this amazing innovation within "Behavioral Finance." The genius of Buffett and Munger's parsimonious four filters process was to "capture all the important stakeholders" in a "multi-variable" decision forming process.
"Price To Value" is about Intelligent Speculation. It is about decision framing and using the amazing "Decision Filters" of Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett. These "filters" offer us the opportunity to enhance our decision framing and decision making skills in both investing and speculation. How can we use this framework to improve our speculative decision making? We can use it to help us separate fact from fiction. Readers will benefit from this book if it stimulates better thinking into the most important factors crucial to decision making. These decision framing ideas can be applied across different asset classes. First, the book presents the four investing decision filters in simplified terms. Then, it extends these ideas by looking into the intelligent speculation ideal described by Benjamin Graham in his tenth lecture of 1946.
This book offers 5 sample "intrinsic value per share" business valuation estimations that were first performed in 2010. Done in a style that Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger may use, these valuations are based on free cash flows each business produced. In each case presented, the author, Bud Labitan, simulated an approach that Buffett and Munger might take to valuing a business, based on what they have written and talked about. However, all of the growth assumptions used are Labitan's own. No consultation or endorsement was sought with Mr. Buffett or Mr. Munger. How is this portfolio of five businesses doing after five years? If the reader had invested an equal amount of money in all five businesses in 2010, the average annual return so far would be 42%.
"The Four Filters Invention of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger" examines each of the steps they perform in framing and making an investment decision. The author believes that Buffett and Munger expanded the field of "Behavioral Finance" by using this thoughtful and effective process. The genius of Buffett and Munger's four filters process was to capture all the important stakeholders in their decision making. Imagine...Products, Enduring Customers, Managers, and Margin-of-Safety...all in one mixed "qual + quant" formula. This second edition contains additional examples in this amazing process. This edition also contains the author's look into their 1988 valuation of Coca-Cola. Each chapter has additional specific examples. The author also discusses additional insights he has learned in the past five years since the first edition was released.
For years, we have wondered how Warren Buffett valued Coca-Cola, (KO), stock at such a deep bargain in 1988. This book describes a simple two stage discounted cash flow model that delivers a close approximation. This exercise is our quantitative estimation of Coca Cola's Intrinsic Value Per Share in 1988. First, we describe our 2-stage "discounted cash flow" valuation model. Our estimating model is strict. It assumes a business will only "live" for 20 years. Within the model, we apply compounding growth to the first 10 years. Then, we assume a lower growth rate for years 11 till the end of year 20. Since intrinsic value is a highly subjective figure, readers can adjust their model to the quality of the business they wish to value. This book also describes the Warren Buffett secret of "Yield On Cost" when investing in a high quality business bargain.
From the author of "The Four Filters Invention of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger," Decision Framing is a look into the six core chapters of his second book "Price To Value." This book presents the four business investing decision filters of Buffett and Munger. Then it extends these ideas by looking into the intelligent speculation ideal described by Benjamin Graham in his tenth lecture of 1946. This book is intended to inspire clearer thinking by suggesting a better approach to structuring a decision. An improved approach to thinking rationally can take our skills from good to better. Why offer this shorter book and call it Decision Framing? The simple answer is Cost/Price. Since the cost of producing this shorter book in paperback form is lower, this one can be offered to busy college students interested in learning more about business and decision science.
This second edition is a look back at the 2 year results. "A Fistful Of Valuations" offers 5 sample "intrinsic value per share" business valuations in the style that Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger may use. In each case the author tried to simulate an approach that they would take to valuing a business, based on what they have written and talked about. All of the growth assumptions used are the author's own. The valuation cases are estimations written in a style that emphasizes a focus on free cash flow and the number of shares outstanding. Readers are encouraged to think about the business' competitive position. In reality, these businesses may outperform or underperform the author's projections.
"The Four Filters Invention of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger" examines each of the basic steps they perform in "framing and making" an investment decision. This book is a focused look into this amazing invention within "Behavioral Finance." The genius of Buffett and Munger's parsimonious four filters process was to "capture all the important stakeholders" in a "multi-variable" equation or formula. Imagine...Products, Enduring Customers, Managers, and Margin-of-Safety... all in one mixed "qual + quant" formula. Other important ideas are embedded in each chapter. The book can be used as a supplemental textbook in a Valuation or Decision Sciences course.
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