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"Schelling here offers an early analysis of 'tipping' in social
situations involving a large number of individuals." official
citation for the 2005 Nobel Prize "Micromotives and Macrobehavior"
was originally published over twenty-five years ago, yet the
stories it tells feel just as fresh today. And the subject of these
stories how small and seemingly meaningless decisions and actions
by individuals often lead to significant unintended consequences
for a large group is more important than ever. In one famous
example, Thomas C. Schelling shows that a slight-but-not-malicious
preference to have neighbors of the same race eventually leads to
completely segregated populations. The updated edition of this
landmark book contains a new preface and the author's Nobel Prize
acceptance speech."
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Arms and Influence (Paperback)
Thomas C. Schelling; Introduction by Anne-Marie Slaughter
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"This is a brilliant and hardheaded book. It will frighten those
who prefer not to dwell on the unthinkable and infuriate those who
have taken refuge in stereotypes and moral attitudinizing."-Gordon
A. Craig, New York Times Book Review "A grim but carefully reasoned
and coldly analytical book. . . . One of the most frightening
previews which this reviewer has ever seen of the roads that lie
just ahead in warfare."-Los Angeles Times Originally published more
than fifty years ago, this landmark book explores the ways in which
military capabilities-real or imagined-are used, skillfully or
clumsily, as bargaining power. Anne-Marie Slaughter's new
introduction to the work shows how Schelling's framework-conceived
of in a time of superpowers and mutually assured destruction-still
applies to our multipolar world, where wars are fought as much
online as on the ground. The Henry L. Stimson Lectures Series
Zum ersten Mal wird mit der vorliegenden Publikation ein aktueller
UEberblick uber die verschiedenen Aspekte der Veranderung der Natur
und ihrer Bestandteile gegeben. Im Mittelpunkt stehen dabei
unterschiedliche, im Spannungsfeld zwischen naturlichem Wandel und
anthropogenen Veranderungen angesiedelte Fragestellungen. Namhafte
Autoren untersuchen am Beispiel der Naturelemente Klima, Boden und
Biodiversitat moegliche Prozesse, die zu Wandel oder Veranderung
beitragen. Erganzt werden diese Betrachtungen durch Fallstudien
u.a. zum tropischen Regenwald, zum Sahel, zu urbanen Raumen und zu
moeglichen Naturrisiken. Zusatzlich werden konkrete Wege
aufgezeigt, wie die aktuellen Herausforderungen zum Wohle von
Mensch und Natur bewaltigt werden koennen.
Thomas Schelling is a political economist "conspicuous for
wandering"-an errant economist. In Choice and Consequence, he
ventures into the area where rationality is ambiguous in order to
look at the tricks people use to try to quit smoking or lose
weight. He explores topics as awesome as nuclear terrorism, as
sordid as blackmail, as ineffable as daydreaming, as intimidating
as euthanasia. He examines ethical issues wrapped up in economics,
unwrapping the economics to disclose ethical issues that are
misplaced or misidentified. With an ingenious, often startling
approach, Schelling brings new perspectives to problems ranging
from drug abuse, abortion, and the value people put on their lives
to organized crime, airplane hijacking, and automobile safety. One
chapter is a clear and elegant exposition of game theory as a
framework for analyzing social problems. Another plays with the
hypothesis that our minds are not only our problem-solving
equipment but also the organ in which much of our consumption takes
place. What binds together the different subjects is the author's
belief in the possibility of simultaneously being humane and
analytical, of dealing with both the momentous and the familiar.
Choice and Consequence was written for the curious, the puzzled,
the worried, and all those who appreciate intellectual adventure.
Little will be done in the near future to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions - providing an opportunity to develop programmes for
research, subsidization, and regulation. This text focuses on
specific issues, such as global climate change, and the
institutional arrangements required to deal with them.
All of the essays in this new collection by Thomas Schelling convey
his unique perspective on individuals and society. This perspective
has several characteristics: it is strategic in that it assumes
that an important part of people's behavior is motivated by the
thought of influencing other people's expectations; it views the
mind as being separable into two or more parts
(rational/irrational; present-minded/future-minded); it is
motivated by policy concerns--smoking and other addictions, global
warming, segregation, nuclear war; and while it accepts many of the
basic assumptions of economics--that people are forward-looking,
rational decision makers, that resources are scarce, and that
incentives are important--it is open to modifying them when
appropriate, and open to the findings and insights of other social
science disciplines.
Schelling--a 2005 Nobel Prize winner-- has been one of the four
or five most important social scientists of the past fifty years,
and this collection shows why.
Micromotives and Macrobehavior deals with all involve systems of
behavior where a person reacting, responding, and adapting to his
surroundings fails to perceive, or doesn't care, how his actions
combine with the actions of others to produce unanticipated
results.
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