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Publisher's Note: Products purchased from Third Party sellers are
not guaranteed by the publisher for quality, authenticity, or
access to any online entitlements included with the product. If
you're more interested in conversing with Spanish-speaking friends
and colleagues and less interested in memorizing grammar rules,
this is the guide for you! William C. Harvey knows that not every
student of the Spanish language wants to translate Don Quixote! In
fact, a great many of us just want a working knowledge of it so we
can to communicate with Spanish speakers at work and in social
situations. In Spanish for the Rest of Us, Harvey skips the idea of
memorizing grammar rules to focus on everyday, practical Spanish.
He emphasizes the most-often-used Spanish words and phrases, and
includes numerous language-learning tips that provide a short-cut
to effective communication. This lively, informal program is
supported by audio recordings (online and mobile), streaming
through McGraw Hill's Language Lab app-which also provides
flashcards and pronunciation for all vocabulary lists. Spanish for
the Rest of Us features: * A super practical way to learn everyday
Spanish to use with friends and co-workers-from a very experienced
author and teacher * Less grammar, more understanding-ideal for
learners who are intimidated by formal classes and programs * An
attractive presentation and fun features, including hot tips,
checklists, cultural insights, key word lists, and more * Extensive
audio recordings that provide pronunciation models to support the
program, streaming via the McGraw-Hill Language Lab app *
Flashcards and pronunciation for all vocabulary available via the
language app
Business Elites and Corporate Governance in France and the UK is a
cross-national study of business elites and corporate governance in
France and the UK. It examines corporate governance from a
comparative standpoint and looks beneath the surface at the
exercise of power and authority in two distinct national business
systems. It explores key issues concerning business elites, their
networks, recruitment and reproduction. It aims to shed light on
the mechanisms that govern the stability and regeneration of
business elites against the backdrop of an increasingly global
economy.
This book critically examines the notion of Celticity from a geographical perspective and explores the ways an old culture is being reinvented to serve the needs of a particular group of people in these new times.
Contemporary culture is packed with fantasy and science fiction
storyworlds extending across multiple media platforms. This book
explores the myriad ways in which imaginary worlds use media like
films, novels, videogames, comic books, toys and increasingly
user-generated content to captivate and energise contemporary
audiences.
The volatility of financial returns changes over time and, for the
last thirty years, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional
Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have provided the principal means
of analyzing, modeling, and monitoring such changes. Taking into
account that financial returns typically exhibit heavy tails that
is, extreme values can occur from time to time Andrew Harvey's new
book shows how a small but radical change in the way GARCH models
are formulated leads to a resolution of many of the theoretical
problems inherent in the statistical theory. The approach can also
be applied to other aspects of volatility, such as those arising
from data on the range of returns and the time between trades.
Furthermore, the more general class of Dynamic Conditional Score
models extends to robust modeling of outliers in the levels of time
series and to the treatment of time-varying relationships. As such,
there are applications not only to financial data but also to
macroeconomic time series and to time series in other disciplines.
The statistical theory draws on basic principles of maximum
likelihood estimation and, by doing so, leads to an elegant and
unified treatment of nonlinear time-series modeling. The practical
value of the proposed models is illustrated by fitting them to real
data sets."
This is the first book to bring together an interdisciplinary,
theoretically engaged and global perspective on the First World War
through the lens of historical and cultural geography. Reflecting
the centennial interest in the conflict, the collection explores
the relationships between warfare and space, and pays particular
attention to how commemoration is connected to spatial elements of
national identity, and processes of heritage and belonging.
Venturing beyond military history and memory studies, contributors
explore conceptual contributions of geography to analyse the First
World War, as well as reflecting upon the imperative for an
academic discussion on the War's centenary. This book explores the
War's impact in more unexpected theatres, blurring the boundary
between home and fighting fronts, investigating the experiences of
the war amongst civilians and often overlooked combatants. It also
critically examines the politics of hindsight in the post-war
period, and offers an historical geographical account of how the
First World War has been memorialised within 'official' spaces, in
addition to those overlooked and often undervalued 'alternative
spaces' of commemoration. This innovative and timely text will be
key reading for students and scholars of the First World War, and
more broadly in historical and cultural geography, social and
cultural history, European history, Heritage Studies, military
history and memory studies.
This is the first book to bring together an interdisciplinary,
theoretically engaged and global perspective on the First World War
through the lens of historical and cultural geography. Reflecting
the centennial interest in the conflict, the collection explores
the relationships between warfare and space, and pays particular
attention to how commemoration is connected to spatial elements of
national identity, and processes of heritage and belonging.
Venturing beyond military history and memory studies, contributors
explore conceptual contributions of geography to analyse the First
World War, as well as reflecting upon the imperative for an
academic discussion on the War's centenary. This book explores the
War's impact in more unexpected theatres, blurring the boundary
between home and fighting fronts, investigating the experiences of
the war amongst civilians and often overlooked combatants. It also
critically examines the politics of hindsight in the post-war
period, and offers an historical geographical account of how the
First World War has been memorialised within 'official' spaces, in
addition to those overlooked and often undervalued 'alternative
spaces' of commemoration. This innovative and timely text will be
key reading for students and scholars of the First World War, and
more broadly in historical and cultural geography, social and
cultural history, European history, Heritage Studies, military
history and memory studies.
First published in 1999. Routledge is an imprint of Taylor &
Francis, an informa company.
Using language to date the origin and spread of food production,
Archaeology and Language II represents groundbreaking work in
synthesizing two disciplines that are now seen as interlinked:
linguistics and archaeology. This volume is the second part of a
three-part survey of innovative results emerging from their
combination. Archaeology and historical linguistics have largely
pursued separate tracks until recently, although their goals can be
very similar. While there is a new awareness that these disciplines
can be used to complement one another, both rigorous methodological
awareness and detailed case-studies are still lacking in the
literature. This three-part survey is the first study to address
this. Archaeology and Language II examines in some detail how
archaeological data can be interpreted through linguistic
hypotheses. This collection demonstrates the possibility that,
where archaeological sequences are reasonably well-known, they
might be tied into evidence of language diversification and thus
produce absolute chronologies. Where there is evidence for
migrations and expansions these can be explored through both
disciplines to produce a richer interpretation of prehistory. An
important part of this is the origin and spread of food production
which can be modelled through the spread of both plants and words
for them. Archaeology and Language II will be of interest to
researchers in linguistics, archaeologists and anthropologists.
"The Critical History of Edgar Allan Poe's The Narrative of Arthur
Gordon Pym: A Dialogue with Unreason" traces the complex, scattered
criticism of Poe's most anomalous work, as it has steadily grown in
prominence to a central position in the study of Poe and American
literature. The winding route the criticism of "Pym" has charted,
as convoluted as the narrative itself, has been a history of
disagreement at almost every level at which critics and scholars
read texts--including the nature and genre of the work, the
seriousness or levity of the author's intent, and its stature as a
work of genius, hackwork, or something in between. The unique set
of thematic and narrative problems the work poses has eluded every
hermeneutic structure brought against it so far, consistently
undermining the very reading strategies it seems to invite.
The only comprehensive critical history and bibliography of "Pym,"
this study fills a large hole Poe scholars have long felt, as it
analyzes the ways in which critics and critical camps have
attempted to confront, rationalize, contain, or evade its novel and
disturbing features. In the process, the criticism is correlated
with the popular reception and the international response. Because
literary history has entangled no author with his work more than
Poe, ultimately this book is as much a study of Poe as of "Pym." At
every point, therefore, this study embeds the critical response to
"Pym "in the history of Poe studies in general, as well as in the
larger context of American literary theory and history. Includes
bibliography and index.
Details the growth, roles, and applications of this new specialty
aiming to protect American national and public well-being in the
face of increasing and novel threats both inside and outside the
United States. In this age of asymmetric warfare, increasing
home-grown terrorism, and continuing threats from abroad, a new
specialty has emerged and expanded-operational psychology.
Operational psychology plays a unique role in supporting issues of
national security, national defense, and public safety. In this
book, authors Mark A. Staal and Sally C. Harvey, both operational
psychologists and retired military colonels, lead a team of experts
explaining the field, its many roles, and how it is expanding.
Topics include its application in intelligence,
counterintelligence, and counterterrorism activities, consultation
in high-risk training, criminal investigations including those of
internet crimes against children, threat assessment,
interrogations, aviation, personnel selection, and leadership
development. The text addresses the ethical questions and
controversies that surround some of these roles, such as those
associated with interrogation techniques. It also describes the
role of operational psychologists in activities ranging from
assessing and training people for maximum resiliency and hardiness
to profiling people and groups of concern in national security
investigations. Explains operational psychologists' roles in
preventing and acting against terrorism, intelligence and
counterintelligence, propaganda efforts, and Influence Operations
Details operational psychologists' roles in undercover domestic
investigations such as internet crimes against children and the
Safeguard program to reduce the impact of exposure to violent
crimes Addresses the controversy around operational psychologists
assisting civilian and military interrogations
The volatility of financial returns changes over time and, for the
last thirty years, Generalized Autoregressive Conditional
Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models have provided the principal means
of analyzing, modeling, and monitoring such changes. Taking into
account that financial returns typically exhibit heavy tails that
is, extreme values can occur from time to time Andrew Harvey's new
book shows how a small but radical change in the way GARCH models
are formulated leads to a resolution of many of the theoretical
problems inherent in the statistical theory. The approach can also
be applied to other aspects of volatility, such as those arising
from data on the range of returns and the time between trades.
Furthermore, the more general class of Dynamic Conditional Score
models extends to robust modeling of outliers in the levels of time
series and to the treatment of time-varying relationships. As such,
there are applications not only to financial data but also to
macroeconomic time series and to time series in other disciplines.
The statistical theory draws on basic principles of maximum
likelihood estimation and, by doing so, leads to an elegant and
unified treatment of nonlinear time-series modeling. The practical
value of the proposed models is illustrated by fitting them to real
data sets."
In this book, Andrew Harvey sets out to provide a unified and
comprehensive theory of structural time series models. Unlike the
traditional ARIMA models, structural time series models consist
explicitly of unobserved components, such as trends and seasonals,
which have a direct interpretation. As a result the model selection
methodology associated with structural models is much closer to
econometric methodology. The link with econometrics is made even
closer by the natural way in which the models can be extended to
include explanatory variables and to cope with multivariate time
series. From the technical point of view, state space models and
the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of
structural time series models. The book includes a detailed
treatment of the Kalman filter. This technique was originally
developed in control engineering, but is becoming increasingly
important in fields such as economics and operations research. This
book is concerned primarily with modelling economic and social time
series, and with addressing the special problems which the
treatment of such series poses. The properties of the models and
the methodological techniques used to select them are illustrated
with various applications. These range from the modellling of
trends and cycles in US macroeconomic time series to to an
evaluation of the effects of seat belt legislation in the UK.
This book is a self-contained introduction to the theory of atomic
motion in proteins and nucleic acids. An understanding of such
motion is essential because it plays a crucially important role in
biological activity. The authors, both of whom are well known for
their work in this field, describe in detail the major theoretical
methods that are likely to be useful in the computer-aided design
of drugs, enzymes and other molecules. A variety of theoretical and
experimental studies is described and these are critically analyzed
to provide a comprehensive picture of dynamic aspects of
biomolecular structure and function. The book will be of interest
to graduate students and research workers in structural
biochemistry (X-ray diffraction and NMR), theoretical chemistry
(liquids and polymers), biophysics, enzymology, molecular biology,
pharmaceutical chemistry, genetic engineering and biotechnology.
This book explores new thinking on constitutionalism, governance
and regulation. This new thinking is emerging against the backdrop
of constitutional restructuring in the UK and elsewhere as well as
in the context of European Union developments. There are important
issues emerging about regulation and democracy in all the other
various sites of power - the European post-state arrangements, the
"nation" state in its splintering forms, regions and cities, public
and private space, the economy and the corporate world, and both
formal and informal politics. This book seeks to engage with many
of these.
The focus of the work is beyond the formal agenda of reform,
looking instead at how ideas of constitutionalism and governance
are undergoing a transformation and being expanded beyond
traditional notions of the control of government and the liberal
project of translating universal principles into common standards
for the establishment of agreed functional institutions. The book
brings together a number of authors who have, through their work,
attempted to understand the multiple meanings of such changes for
the future of constitutionalism and governance. In an environment
of rapid change to formal constitutions, of new voices entering the
continuing dialoge about constitutionalism and governance, these
essays aim to recognize the complexity and fragmentation typical of
modern times and emphasize the multi-layered nature and future
development of cosmopolitan governance.
This is the first book to document comprehensively the 'state of
the art' in the lifecourse epidemiology of osteoporosis. In
detailed chapters, expert contributors describe the current and
projected future burden of disease, developments in the
understanding of risk factors for osteoporosis from cradle to
grave, the underlying mechanisms, and advances in approaches to
risk assessment and treatment. It is essential reading for all
students on postgraduate courses in bone health, as well as an
important reference for practitioners and researchers in
osteoporosis, epidemiology, and related fields.
Ecologists now recognize that the dynamics of populations,
communities, and ecosystems are strongly affected by adaptive
individual behaviors. Yet until now, we have lacked effective and
flexible methods for modeling such dynamics. Traditional ecological
models become impractical with the inclusion of behavior, and the
optimization approaches of behavioral ecology cannot be used when
future conditions are unpredictable due to feedbacks from the
behavior of other individuals. This book provides a comprehensive
introduction to state- and prediction-based theory, or SPT, a
powerful new approach to modeling trade-off behaviors in contexts
such as individual-based population models where feedbacks and
variability make optimization impossible. Modeling Populations of
Adaptive Individuals features a wealth of examples that range from
highly simplified behavior models to complex population models in
which individuals make adaptive trade-off decisions about habitat
and activity selection in highly heterogeneous environments. Steven
Railsback and Bret Harvey explain how SPT builds on key concepts
from the state-based dynamic modeling theory of behavioral ecology,
and how it combines explicit predictions of future conditions with
approximations of a fitness measure to represent how individuals
make good-not optimal-decisions that they revise as conditions
change. The resulting models are realistic, testable, adaptable,
and invaluable for answering fundamental questions in ecology and
forecasting ecological outcomes of real-world scenarios.
This is the first book to document comprehensively the 'state of
the art' in the lifecourse epidemiology of osteoporosis. In
detailed chapters, expert contributors describe the current and
projected future burden of disease, developments in the
understanding of risk factors for osteoporosis from cradle to
grave, the underlying mechanisms, and advances in approaches to
risk assessment and treatment. It is essential reading for all
students on postgraduate courses in bone health, as well as an
important reference for practitioners and researchers in
osteoporosis, epidemiology, and related fields.
This book provides a synthesis of concepts and materials that ordinarily appear separately in time series and econometrics literature, presenting a comprehensive review of both theoretical and applied concepts. Perhaps the most novel feature of the book is its use of Kalman filtering together with econometric and time series methodology. From a technical point of view, state space models and the Kalman filter play a key role in the statistical treatment of structural time series models. This technique was originally developed in control engineering but is becoming increasingly important in economics and operations research. The book is primarily concerned with modeling economic and social time series and with addressing the special problems that the treatment of such series pose.
Ecologists now recognize that the dynamics of populations,
communities, and ecosystems are strongly affected by adaptive
individual behaviors. Yet until now, we have lacked effective and
flexible methods for modeling such dynamics. Traditional ecological
models become impractical with the inclusion of behavior, and the
optimization approaches of behavioral ecology cannot be used when
future conditions are unpredictable due to feedbacks from the
behavior of other individuals. This book provides a comprehensive
introduction to state- and prediction-based theory, or SPT, a
powerful new approach to modeling trade-off behaviors in contexts
such as individual-based population models where feedbacks and
variability make optimization impossible. Modeling Populations of
Adaptive Individuals features a wealth of examples that range from
highly simplified behavior models to complex population models in
which individuals make adaptive trade-off decisions about habitat
and activity selection in highly heterogeneous environments. Steven
Railsback and Bret Harvey explain how SPT builds on key concepts
from the state-based dynamic modeling theory of behavioral ecology,
and how it combines explicit predictions of future conditions with
approximations of a fitness measure to represent how individuals
make good-not optimal-decisions that they revise as conditions
change. The resulting models are realistic, testable, adaptable,
and invaluable for answering fundamental questions in ecology and
forecasting ecological outcomes of real-world scenarios.
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