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1. INTRODUCTION In the Spring of 1975 we held an international
workshop on the Foundations and Application of Decision Theory at
the University of Western Ontario. To help structure the workshop
into ordered and manageable sessions we distri buted the following
statement of our goals to all invited participants. They in turn
responded with useful revisions and suggested their own areas of
interest. Since this procedure provided the eventual format of the
sessions, we include it here as the most appropriate introduction
to these collected papers result ing from the workshop. The reader
can readily gauge the approximation to our mutual goals. 2.
STATEMENT OF OBJECTIVES AND RATIONALE (Attached to this statement
is a bibliography; names of persons cited in the statement and
writing in this century will be found referenced in the biblio
graphy - certain 'classics' aSide. ) 2. 1. Preamble We understand
in the following the Theory of Decisions in a broader sense than is
presently customary, construing it to embrace a general theory of
decision-making, including social, political and economic theory
and applica tions. Thus, we subsume the Theory of Games under the
head of Decision Theory, regarding it as a particularly clearly
formulated version of part of the general theory of
decision-making."
1. INTRODUCTION In the Spring of 1975 we held an international
workshop on the Foundations and Application of Decision Theory at
the University of Western Ontario. To help structure the workshop
into ordered and manageable sessions we distri buted the following
statement of our goals to all invited participants. They in turn
responded with useful revisions and suggested their own areas of
interest. Since this procedure provided the eventual format of the
sessions, we include it here as the most appropriate introduction
to these collected papers result ing from the workshop. The reader
can readily gauge the approximation to our mutual goals. 2.
STATEMENT or OBJECTIVES AND RATIONALE (Attached to this statement
is a bibliography; names of persons cited in the statement and
writing in this century will be found referenced in the biblio
graphy - certain 'classics' aside. ) 2. 1. Preamble We understand
in the following the Theory of Decisions in a broader sense than is
presently customary, construing it to embrace a general theory of
deciSion-making, induding social, political and economic theory and
applica tions. Thus, we subsume the Theory of Games under the head
of Decision Theory, regarding it as a particularly clearly
formulated version of part of the general theory of
decision-making."
In May of 1973 we organized an international research colloquium on
foundations of probability, statistics, and statistical theories of
science at the University of Western Ontario. During the past four
decades there have been striking formal advances in our
understanding of logic, semantics and algebraic structure in
probabilistic and statistical theories. These advances, which
include the development of the relations between semantics and
metamathematics, between logics and algebras and the
algebraic-geometrical foundations of statistical theories
(especially in the sciences), have led to striking new insights
into the formal and conceptual structure of probability and
statistical theory and their scientific applications in the form of
scientific theory. The foundations of statistics are in a state of
profound conflict. Fisher's objections to some aspects of
Neyman-Pearson statistics have long been well known. More recently
the emergence of Bayesian statistics as a radical alternative to
standard views has made the conflict especially acute. In recent
years the response of many practising statisticians to the conflict
has been an eclectic approach to statistical inference. Many good
statisticians have developed a kind of wisdom which enables them to
know which problems are most appropriately handled by each of the
methods available. The search for principles which would explain
why each of the methods works where it does and fails where it does
offers a fruitful approach to the controversy over foundations.
In May of 1973 we organized an international research colloquium on
foundations of probability, statistics, and statistical theories of
science at the University of Western Ontario. During the past four
decades there have been striking formal advances in our
understanding of logic, semantics and algebraic structure in
probabilistic and statistical theories. These advances, which
include the development of the relations between semantics and
metamathematics, between logics and algebras and the
algebraic-geometrical foundations of statistical theories
(especially in the sciences), have led to striking new insights
into the formal and conceptual structure of probability and
statistical theory and their scientific applications in the form of
scientific theory. The foundations of statistics are in a state of
profound conflict. Fisher's objections to some aspects of
Neyman-Pearson statistics have long been well known. More recently
the emergence of Bayesian statistics as a radical alternative to
standard views has made the conflict especially acute. In recent
years the response of many practising statisticians to the conflict
has been an eclectic approach to statistical inference. Many good
statisticians have developed a kind of wisdom which enables them to
know which problems are most appropriately handled by each of the
methods available. The search for principles which would explain
why each of the methods works where it does and fails where it does
offers a fruitful approach to the controversy over foundations.
In May of 1973 we organized an international research colloquium on
foundations of probability, statistics, and statistical theories of
science at the University of Western Ontario. During the past four
decades there have been striking formal advances in our
understanding of logic, semantics and algebraic structure in
probabilistic and statistical theories. These advances, which
include the development of the relations between semantics and
metamathematics, between logics and algebras and the
algebraic-geometrical foundations of statistical theories
(especially in the sciences), have led to striking new insights
into the formal and conceptual structure of probability and
statistical theory and their scientific applications in the form of
scientific theory. The foundations of statistics are in a state of
profound conflict. Fisher's objections to some aspects of
Neyman-Pearson statistics have long been well known. More recently
the emergence of Baysian statistics as a radical alternative to
standard views has made the conflict especially acute. In recent
years the response of many practising statisticians to the conflict
has been an eclectic approach to statistical inference. Many good
statisticians have developed a kind of wisdom which enables them to
know which problems are most appropriately handled by each of the
methods available. The search for principles which would explain
why each of the methods works where it does and fails where it does
offers a fruitful approach to the controversy over foundations.
1. INTRODUCTION In the Spring of 1975 we held an international
workshop on the Foundations and Application of Decision Theory at
the University of Western Ontario. To help structure the workshop
into ordered and manageable sessions we distri buted the following
statement of our goals to all invited participants. They in turn
responded with useful revisions and suggested their own areas of
interest. Since this procedure provided the eventual format of the
sessions, we include it here as the most appropriate introduction
to these collected papers result ing from the workshop. The reader
can readily gauge the approximation to our mutual goals. 2.
STATEMENT or OBJECTIVES AND RATIONALE (Attached to this statement
is a bibliography; names of persons cited in the statement and
writing in this century will be found referenced in the biblio
graphy - certain 'classics' aside. ) 2. 1. Preamble We understand
in the following the Theory of Decisions in a broader sense than is
presently customary, construing it to embrace a general theory of
deciSion-making, induding social, political and economic theory and
applica tions. Thus, we subsume the Theory of Games under the head
of Decision Theory, regarding it as a particularly clearly
formulated version of part of the general theory of
decision-making."
In two earlier volumes, entitled The Logico-Algebraic Approach to
Quan tum Mechanics (hereafter LAA I, II), I have presented
collections of research papers which trace out the historical
development and contem porary flowering of a particular approach to
physical theory. One might characterise this approach as the
extraction of an abstract logico-algebraic skeleton from each
physical theory and the reconstruction of the physical theory as
construction of mathematical and interpretive 'flesh' (e. g. ,
measures, operators, mappings etc. ) on this skeleton. The idea is
to show how the specific features of a theory that are easily seen
in application (e. g. , 'interference' among observables in quantum
mechanics) arise out of the character of its core abstract
structure. In this fashion both the deeper nature of a theory (e.
g. , in what precise sense quantum mechanics is strongly
statistical) and the deeper differences between theories (e. g.
clas sical mechanics, though also a 'mechanics', is not strongly
statistical) are penetratingly illuminated. What I would describe
as the 'mainstream' logico-algebraic tradition is captured in these
two collections of papers (LAA I, II). The abstract, structural
approach to the characterisation of physical theory has been the
basis of a striking transformation, in this century, in the
understanding of theories in mathematical physics. There has
emerged clearly the idea that physical theories are most
significantly characterised by their abstract structural
components.
1. INTRODUCTION In the Spring of 1975 we held an international
workshop on the Foundations and Application of Decision Theory at
the University of Western Ontario. To help structure the workshop
into ordered and manageable sessions we distri buted the following
statement of our goals to all invited participants. They in turn
responded with useful revisions and suggested their own areas of
interest. Since this procedure provided the eventual format of the
sessions, we include it here as the most appropriate introduction
to these collected papers result ing from the workshop. The reader
can readily gauge the approximation to our mutual goals. 2.
STATEMENT OF OBJECTIVES AND RATIONALE (Attached to this statement
is a bibliography; names of persons cited in the statement and
writing in this century will be found referenced in the biblio
graphy - certain 'classics' aSide. ) 2. 1. Preamble We understand
in the following the Theory of Decisions in a broader sense than is
presently customary, construing it to embrace a general theory of
decision-making, including social, political and economic theory
and applica tions. Thus, we subsume the Theory of Games under the
head of Decision Theory, regarding it as a particularly clearly
formulated version of part of the general theory of
decision-making."
The twentieth century has witnessed a striking transformation in
the understanding of the theories of mathematical physics. There
has emerged clearly the idea that physical theories are
significantly characterized by their abstract mathematical
structure. This is in opposition to the tradi tional opinion that
one should look to the specific applications of a theory in orrter
to understand it. One might with reason now espouse the view that
to understand the deeper character of a theory one must know its
abstract structure and understand the significance of that
structure, while to understand how a theory might be modified in
light of its experimental inadequacies one must be intimately
acquainted with how it is applied. Quantum theory itself has gone
through a development this century which illustrates strikingly the
shifting perspective. From a collection of intuitive physical
manoeuvers under Bohr, through a formative stage in which the
mathematical framework was bifurcated (between Schrodinger and
Heisenberg) to an elegant culmination in von Neumann's Hilbert
space formulation, the elementary theory moved, flanked even at
this later stage by the ill-understood formalisms for the
relativistic version and for the field-theoretic alternative; after
that we have a gradual, but constant, elaboration of all these
quantal theories as abstract mathematical structures (their point
of departure being von Neumann's formalism) until at the present
time theoretical work is heavily preoccupied with the manipulation
of purely abstract structures."
For this book, we have selected papers from symposia and
contributed sessions at the fourth biennial meeting of the
Philosophy of Science Association, held at the University of Notre
Dame on November 1-3, 1974. The meeting was lively and
well-attended, and we regret that there was no way to record here
the many stimulating discussions after the papers and during the
informal hours. We also regret that we had in sufficient space for
all the contributed papers. Even more, some of the symposia were
not available: those on systems and decision theory (c. W.
Churchman, P. Suppes, I. Levi), and on the Marxist philosophy of
science (M. W. Wartofsky, R. S. Cohen, E. N. Hiebert). Unhappily
several individual contributions to other symposia were likewise
not available: I. Velikovsky in the session on his own work and the
politics of science, D. Finkelstein in the session on quantum
logic. Memorial minutes were read for Alan Ross Anderson (prepared
by Nuel Belnap) and for Imre Lakatos (prepared by Paul Feyerabend).
They initiate this volume of philosophy of science in the
mid-seventies."
In May of 1973 we organized an international research colloquium on
foundations of probability, statistics, and statistical theories of
science at the University of Western Ontario. During the past four
decades there have been striking formal advances in our
understanding of logic, semantics and algebraic structure in
probabilistic and statistical theories. These advances, which
include the development of the relations between semantics and
metamathematics, between logics and algebras and the
algebraic-geometrical foundations of statistical theories
(especially in the sciences), have led to striking new insights
into the formal and conceptual structure of probability and
statistical theory and their scientific applications in the form of
scientific theory. The foundations of statistics are in a state of
profound conflict. Fisher's objections to some aspects of
Neyman-Pearson statistics have long been well known. More recently
the emergence of Baysian statistics as a radical alternative to
standard views has made the conflict especially acute. In recent
years the response of many practising statisticians to the conflict
has been an eclectic approach to statistical inference. Many good
statisticians have developed a kind of wisdom which enables them to
know which problems are most appropriately handled by each of the
methods available. The search for principles which would explain
why each of the methods works where it does and fails where it does
offers a fruitful approach to the controversy over foundations.
The twentieth century has witnessed a striking transformation in
the un derstanding of the theories of mathematical physics. There
has emerged clearly the idea that physical theories are
significantly characterized by their abstract mathematical
structure. This is in opposition to the tradi tional opinion that
one should look to the specific applications of a theory in order
to understand it. One might with reason now espouse the view that
to understand the deeper character of a theory one must know its
abstract structure and understand the significance of that struc
ture, while to understand how a theory might be modified in light
of its experimental inadequacies one must be intimately acquainted
with how it is applied. Quantum theory itself has gone through a
development this century which illustrates strikingly the shifting
perspective. From a collection of intuitive physical maneuvers
under Bohr, through a formative stage in which the mathematical
framework was bifurcated (between Schrodinger and Heisenberg) to an
elegant culmination in von Neumann's Hilbert space formulation the
elementary theory moved, flanked even at the later stage by the
ill-understood formalisms for the relativistic version and for the
field-theoretic altemative; after that we have a gradual, but
constant, elaboration of all these quantal theories as abstract
mathematical struc tures (their point of departure being von
Neumann's formalism) until at the present time theoretical work is
heavily preoccupied with the manip ulation of purely abstract
structures."
To mathematicians, mathematics is a happy game, to scientists a
mere tool and to philosophers a Platonic mystery - or so the
caricature runs. The caricature reflects the alleged 'cultural gap'
between the disciplines a gap for which there too often has been,
sadly, sound historical evidence. In many minds the lack of
communication between philosophy and the exact disciplines is
especially prominent. Yet in the past there was no separation -
exact knowledge, covering both scientists and mathemati cians, was
known as natural philosophy and the business of providing a
critical view of the nature of reality and an accurate mathematical
de scription of it constituted a single task from the glorious
tradition begun by the early Greek philosophers even up until
Newton's day (but I am thinking of Descartes and Leibniz I). The
lack of communication between these professional groups has been
particularly unfortunate, for the past half century has seen the
most ex citing developments in mathematical physics since Newton.
These devel opments hinged on the introduction of vast new reaches
of mathematics into physics (non-Euclidean geometries, covariant
formulations, non commutative algebras, functional analysis and so
on) and conversely have challenged mathematicians to develop the
appropriate mathematical fields. Equally, these developments have
posed profound philosophical problems to do with the rejection of
traditional conceptions concerning the nature of physical reality
and physical theorising."
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