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Originally published in 1982, this book gives a concise commentary
on the development and performance of car ownership prediction
procedures and a wide-ranging survey of the modelling techniques
associated with forecasting. The book provides a basic appreciation
of the key points, whether they are mathematical or otherwise.
Throughout the book there is a theme which relates the academic
debate surrounding the issue to technical rather than philosophical
concepts.
Originally published in 1982, this book gives a concise commentary
on the development and performance of car ownership prediction
procedures and a wide-ranging survey of the modelling techniques
associated with forecasting. The book provides a basic appreciation
of the key points, whether they are mathematical or otherwise.
Throughout the book there is a theme which relates the academic
debate surrounding the issue to technical rather than philosophical
concepts.
Originally published in 1971, when nationalized industries employed
about 7 per cent of the national labour force, created about 10 per
cent of the gross domestic product and had annual investment
programmes which were equal to those of all private manufacturing
put together. Even this understates the scope of public enterprise
at the time, since there were many other organizations, ranging
from the BBC to the Public Trustee, which were semi-autonomous
public enterprises, but not nationalized industries. Moreover, the
public enterprise sector continued to grow, even under Conservative
governments, and there were many reasons for thinking that no
government would succeed in reversing this trend, for it was felt
unlikely that, as government became more complex, it would disgorge
many new activities which would be given a semi-autonomous, that
is, public enterprise status. The author, drawing on personal
experience, shows that the facts of ministerial and parliamentary
control were very different from what the public and Parliament
thought at the time. He describes the very great practical
independence of the Boards and also how much Ministers had come to
rely on persuasion (which not only can impose serious waste of time
and money on both Boards and Government but is also inefficient).
Ministers have least power where the aims of public enterprise are
social rather than commercial. If there were no changes, the growth
of public enterprise to achieve social purposes would mean an
important decline in the power of Parliament and Ministers. This
book explores solutions to this problem and concludes that the
government must build up a cadre and capacity for financial control
which at the time were lacking to it.
Originally published in 1971, when nationalized industries employed
about 7 per cent of the national labour force, created about 10 per
cent of the gross domestic product and had annual investment
programmes which were equal to those of all private manufacturing
put together. Even this understates the scope of public enterprise
at the time, since there were many other organizations, ranging
from the BBC to the Public Trustee, which were semi-autonomous
public enterprises, but not nationalized industries. Moreover, the
public enterprise sector continued to grow, even under Conservative
governments, and there were many reasons for thinking that no
government would succeed in reversing this trend, for it was felt
unlikely that, as government became more complex, it would disgorge
many new activities which would be given a semi-autonomous, that
is, public enterprise status. The author, drawing on personal
experience, shows that the facts of ministerial and parliamentary
control were very different from what the public and Parliament
thought at the time. He describes the very great practical
independence of the Boards and also how much Ministers had come to
rely on persuasion (which not only can impose serious waste of time
and money on both Boards and Government but is also inefficient).
Ministers have least power where the aims of public enterprise are
social rather than commercial. If there were no changes, the growth
of public enterprise to achieve social purposes would mean an
important decline in the power of Parliament and Ministers. This
book explores solutions to this problem and concludes that the
government must build up a cadre and capacity for financial control
which at the time were lacking to it.
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