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Tangled Governance addresses the institutions that were deployed to
fight the euro crisis, reestablish financial stability in Europe,
and prevent contagion to the rest of the world. Henning explains
why European leaders chose to include the International Monetary
Fund (IMF) in the crisis response and provides a detailed account
of the decisions of the institutions that make up the troika (the
European Commission, European Central Bank, and IMF). He examines
the institutions negotiating strategies, the outcomes of their
interaction, and the effectiveness of their cooperation. The
institutional strategies of key member states, including Germany
and the United States, are also explored in this study. The book
locates its analysis within the framework of regime complexity,
involving clusters of overlapping and intersecting regional and
multilateral institutions. It tests conjectures in the
regime-complexity literature against the seven cases of financial
rescues of euro area countries that were stricken by crises between
2010 and 2015. Tangled Governance concludes that states use some
institutions to control others, that complexity is the consequence
of a strategy to control agency drift. States mediate conflicts
among institutions and thereby limit fragmentation of the regime
complex and underpin substantive efficacy. In reaching these
conclusions, the book also answers several key puzzles, including
why Germany and other northern European countries supported IMF
inclusion despite its adopting positions opposed to their
preferences; why crisis fighting arrangements endured intense
conflicts among the institutions; and, finally, why the United
States and the IMF promoted further steps to complete the monetary
union.
Over the course of five decades, John Williamson has published an
extraordinary number of books, articles, and other pieces on topics
ranging from international monetary economics to development policy
and bridging scholarly literature and policy debates. This book
provides an overview and insight into Williamson's work. It
includes contributions from the editors, Stanley Fischer, Edwin M.
Truman, Paul De Grauwe, Yuemei Ji, Marcus Miller, Avinash Persaud,
Stephany Griffith-Jones, Dagmar Hertova, Olivier Jeanne, Shankar
Acharya, Jose Antonio Ocampo, and an essay by John Williamson on
designing economic policy.
Since the financial crisis in the late 1990s, Asian governments
have been considering strengthening regional monetary and financial
cooperation. Proposals have ranged from the Asian Monetary Fund to
common currencies. During the past two years, China, Japan, Korea,
and the member-states of ASEAN have established a set of financial
facilities under an agreement made in Chiang Mai, Thailand. The
Chiang Mai Initiative (CMI) mobilizes a portion of the very large
reserve holdings of its members for financial stabilization in a
crisis. Organized under the "ASEAN plus three" grouping, these
arrangements do not include the United States or other countries
outside the region. The CMI thus raises several important
questions: Under what terms will financing be extended on a
regional basis? Is it likely to stabilize or destabilize
international capital flows? What will CMI's relationship be to the
International Monetary Fund and other official financial
institutions? How should governments build on these arrangements in
the future? Could they provide the basis for broader integration of
the East Asian region?This study examines the case for and against
regional financial arrangements in East Asia, describes the CMI,
compares it to financial arrangements in other regions, and
recommends how the Initiative can preserve its complementarity to
multilateral institutions and be strengthened in the future. The
study specifically addresses the concerns of Americans, Europeans,
and multilateral organizations, assessing the pros and cons of such
regional financial arrangements for the global system.
Currencies and Politics is the first comprehensive, in-depth
comparison of the institutions and processes that formulate
domestic and external monetary policy in the U.S., Germany, and
Japan. It outlines the differences in policymaking among the three
countries and the policy patterns they produced over the postwar
period.
The Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) holds more than $40 billion
that is at the disposal of the US Secretary of the Treasury for use
in foreign exchange intervention and international financial
support operations. Its use in the Mexican rescue package of 1995
brought the ESF into the public spotlight for the first time in
recent years, and it has been deployed in Brazil and several Asian
crisis countries as well. Its availability for such packages and
its total control by the Treasury secretary have therefore become
very controversial. Randall Henning's study maintains that the Fund
is an important element of US foreign policy and economic policy
and that it should remain under the exclusive control of the
Treasury, but that Congress should exercise effective oversight.
Henning also covers the legislative history of the ESF and outlines
the principles by which the Fund should be administered.
Europe's monetary union will represent the most profound
transformation of the international monetary system since the
transition from fixed to flexible exchange rates in the early
1970s. It will compete with the erosion of American dominance and
the dramatic increase in capital mobility for the distinction of
being the most far-reaching change in the global monetary system
since the Bretton Woods conference of 1944. Economic and Monetary
Union (EMU) will create in Europe a new monetary actor with an
economic size roughly comparable to the United States, ushering in
a new era in international monetary relations. Nonetheless, while
broad interests coincide, the creation of the monetary union will
pose challenges to American, Japanese, and other non-European
policymakers. Europe's monetary union could prove to be a difficult
partner in international monetary cooperation. Henning recommends
that European institutions and policy processes be strengthened,
representation of the monetary union in the G-7 be consolidated,
and that European, American, and Japanese authorities cooperate to
reduce instability during the transition to monetary union.
The dispute over Chinese exchange rate policy within the United
States has generated a series of legislative proposals to restrict
the discretion of the US Treasury Department in determining
currency manipulation and to reform the department's accountability
to the Congress. This study reviews the Treasury's reports to the
Congress on exchange rate policy-introduced by the 1988 trade
act-and Congress's treatment of them. It finds that the
accountability process has often not worked well in practice: The
coverage of the reports has sometimes been incomplete and not
provided a sufficient basis for congressional oversight. Nor has
Congress always performed its own role well, holding hearings on
less than half of the reports and overlooking important substantive
issues. Several recommendations can improve guidance to the
Treasury, standards for assessment, and congressional oversight.
These include (1) refining the criteria used to determine currency
manipulation and writing them into law; (2) explicitly harnessing
US decisions on manipulation to the IMF's rules on exchange rates;
(3) clarifying the general objectives of US exchange rate policy;
(4) reaffirming the mandate to seek international macroeconomic and
currency cooperation; and (5) institutionalizing multicommittee
oversight of exchange rate policy by Congress. As they develop
legislation targeting manipulation, furthermore, legislators should
not lose sight of the broader purposes of the 1988 act relating to
the effective valuation of the dollar, the current account, and
their ramifications for the US economy overall.
The decline of the dollar, the Mexican crisis, and sluggish global
growth reveal the failure of the Group of Seven industrial nations
to provide effective management of the world economy. The G-7 once
played this crucial role effectively, and must do so again if
future crises are to be averted and global prosperity to be
promoted. This study assesses the G-7's record and the reasons for
its demise. It outlines an action program that includes reforming
the exchange rate regime, creating a new financial facility at the
IMF to deal with crises sparked by private capital flows, and
instituting an early warning system to prevent serious new
disruptions in the world economy
The effective governance of global money and finance is under
enormous stress. Deep changes over the last decade in capital
markets, exchange rate systems, and government finances suggest
dramatic shifts in the contours of monetary power, with tensions
rising between the functional logic of international economics and
the geographic logic of state-centered politics. Governing the
World's Money assesses those tensions and the prospects for their
peaceful resolution. Governing the World's Money surveys the
frontiers of the global monetary system in ten original essays.
Leading scholars of international relations and economics explore
the evolution of the instruments available to policy officials for
monetary governance. As they analyze the contemporary reordering of
political authority in a market-oriented global economy, they open
new pathways for the study of regional monetary integration and
international institutional reform.
The European economic and monetary union has changed the
structure of international monetary relations fundamentally. In
this book two experts--one European, the other American--offer
transatlantic perspectives on the ramifications of the monetary
union and the launch of the euro. C. Randall Henning examines
selected American views on Europe's monetary union, and looks at
the political, economic, and institutional interests of the United
States as they are affected by the creation of the euro. He
examines the external monetary policymaking machinery of the union
and discusses the relationship of the monetary union to
international institutions, particularly the meetings of the G-7
finance ministers and central bank governors and the International
Monetary Fund. Henning is generally sympathetic to European
integration, supportive of the monetary union, and persuaded of the
importance of international cooperation. Pier Carlo Padoan presents
a European view of the role of the euro in the international
system. He looks at the euro as a potential global currency and
examines the transition phase between a regional currency and a
global currency. Central to this is an analysis of the appropriate
exchange rate policy for the euro. He also considers euro-dollar
relations and the prospects for transatlantic cooperation. C.
Randall Henning is a professor at The American University and a
senior fellow at the Institute for International Economics. Pier
Carlo Padoan is a professor at the University of Rome and the
College of Europe.
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