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Published macroeconomic data traditionally exclude most intangible
investment from measured GDP. This situation is beginning to
change, but our estimates suggest that as much as $800 billion is
still excluded from U.S. published data (as of 2003), and that this
leads to the exclusion of more than $3 trillion of business
intangible capital stock. To assess the importance of this
omission, we add intangible capital to the standard
sources-of-growth framework used by the BLS, and find that the
inclusion of our list of intangible assets makes a significant
difference in the observed patterns of U.S. economic growth. The
rate of change of output per worker increases more rapidly when
intangibles are counted as capital, and capital deepening becomes
the unambiguously dominant source of growth in labor productivity.
The role of multifactor productivity is correspondingly diminished,
and labor's income share is found to have decreased significantly
over the last 50 years.
Measuring innovation is a challenging task, both for researchers
and for national statisticians, and it is increasingly important in
light of the ongoing digital revolution. National accounts and many
other economic statistics were designed before the emergence of the
digital economy and the growth in importance of intangible capital.
They do not yet fully capture the wide range of innovative activity
that is observed in modern economies. This volume examines how to
measure innovation, track its effects on economic activity and on
prices, and understand how it has changed the structure of
production processes, labor markets, and organizational form and
operation in business. The contributors explore new approaches to
and data sources for measurement, such as collecting data for a
particular innovation as opposed to a firm and using trademarks for
tracking innovation. They also consider the connections between
university-based R&D and business start-ups and the potential
impacts of innovation on income distribution. The research suggests
strategies for expanding current measurement frameworks to better
capture innovative activity, including developing more detailed
tracking of global value chains to identify innovation across time
and space and expanding the measurement of innovation's impacts on
GDP in fields such as consumer content delivery and cloud
computing.
As the accelerated technological advances of the past two decades
continue to reshape the United States' economy, intangible assets
and high-technology investments are taking larger roles. These
developments have raised a number of concerns, such as: How do we
measure intangible assets like organizational capital and research
and development investment? Are we accurately appraising the
contribution and depreciation of high-technology capital? The
answers to these questions have broad implications for the
assessment of the economy's growth over the long term, for the pace
of technological advancement in the economy, and for estimates of
the nation's wealth.
In" Measuring Capital in the New Economy," Carol Corrado, John
Haltiwanger, Daniel Sichel, and a host of distinguished
collaborators offer new approaches for measuring capital in an
economy that is increasingly dominated by high-technology capital
and intangible assets. As the contributors show, these resources
affect the economy in ways that are controversial and notoriously
difficult to appraise. The challenge in measuring intangibles and
the need for transparency in business accounting create inevitable
tensions. At the heart of many of the recent corporate scandals has
been an uncertainty about the treatment of intangibles in business
accounts. In this detailed and thorough analysis of the problem and
its solutions, the contributors study the nature of this economic
challenge and provide guidance as to what factors should be
included in calculations of different types of capital for
economists, policymakers, and the financial and accounting
communities alike.
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