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Showing 1 - 7 of 7 matches in All Departments
Every decision we make is a decision about the future. We constantly make choices that affect the next week, year or decade, but get blinded by what we want or expect the future to be. Cognitive traps lie everywhere: failing to question our assumptions; believing in greater certainty and personal control than life allows; or missing signals because we’re distracted by the noise. The post-2020 world demands a revolutionary way of looking ahead, and in these unpredictable times, the key to good futures thinking is good thinking. The goal of constructive futurism is not to forecast specific events, but to plot a series of scenarios that show what could happen. Consequently, we can work towards the future we want, avoid the ones we don’t, and be prepared to manage the risks and opportunities no matter what. In Thinking the Future, scenario specialists Clem Sunter and Mitch Ilbury teach us the futurist’s art of decision-making, where the flexibility of thinking like a fox plays a key role in adapting to a complex and interconnected world. The book rejects the appealing but misleading self-help narrative that you can decide your future through sheer determination in pursuit of your goals and replaces it with a more dynamic approach. Isaac Newton said: ‘If I have seen further than others, it is by standing on the shoulders of giants.’ By reimagining seminal concepts thought up by some of history’s greatest thinkers, the authors detail the dos and don’ts for thinking the future and handling its uncertainty in a constructive way.
What do you call people who are vaguely right about the future, but seldom precisely wrong? Foxy futurists. In the latest in Clem Sunter's top-selling series of books, he explores the methodology of foxy futurists as well as their propensity to turn their thoughts into action. This title is a collection of his most recent columns, covering topics of general interest, updated and annotated with new insights by this master strategist. It includes possible paths the global economy and South Africa might follow in the years ahead. Packed full of wit and wisdom, Foxy Futurists is a guide to survival and success in these volatile and uncertain times.
The newest in the topselling Fox series, this book is a collection of his most recent columns. Master strategist Sunter covers current events and topics of general interest in his unmistakable, highly readable Sunter style. He has updated and annotated each column with new insights and information on what has happened since and how this bears out his theories (or not). The book includes possible paths the global economy and South Africa might follow in the years ahead. Packed full of wit and wisdom, Calling all foxes is a guide to survival and success in these volatile and uncertain times.
With Flagwatching, top-selling author Clem Sunter breaks new ground. Building on the more abstract discipline of scenario planning for which he is internationally known, this book offers an innovative, highly practical method for decoding the future. This book provides a diverse set of “flags” to watch in the world at large and in South Africa. It will help your business or organisation become a leader in anticipating our fast-changing times.
Games foxes play - Planning for extraordinary times extends the model into the game of business and shows how one needs to understand the game and how it is changing before identifying the correct tactics to win. The authors show how highly imaginative and participative strategic conversations can focus a business on the true meaning of winning in extraordinary times.
Many of the world's true leaders in politics, business and sport have succeeded by adopting the mental processes typical of the ingenuity of one of nature's most resourceful animals – the fox. Are these mental processes extraordinary? No. They are perfectly natural, and can be a powerful tool in scenario planning and making decisions. By drawing on fascinating examples found in business, nature, science, space and sport, the author's provide an analysis of the mind of a fox and identify the two questions you should ask before committing yourself to action: What do you and do you not control?; what is certain and uncertain about the future? They have constructed an ingenious matrix around these questions, which assists you to identify the rules of the game; assess the key uncertainties; paint scenarios; evaluate realistic options; and thereby make effective decisions.
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