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Arabs and Israelis have battled one another in political and
military arenas, seemingly continuously, for some fifty years. The
1991 Madrid Peace Conference sought to change this pattern,
launching bilateral and multilateral tracks in the Arab-Israeli
peace process. As a result, a broad group of Arab states sat down
with Israel and began to cooperate on a wide range of regional
issues in what became known as the Middle East multilaterals. Yet
why did enemies reluctant even to recognize one another choose to
cooperate on regional problems? And once this process began, what
drove the parties to continue such cooperation or, in some cases,
halt their cooperative efforts? "Beyond the Handshake" addresses
these fundamental questions, exploring the origins of the
multilaterals and the development of multilateral cooperation in
the areas of arms control and regional security, economic
development, water management, and the environment. Dalia Dassa
Kaye, challenging conventional concepts of cooperation, argues that
multilateral cooperation in the Middle East must be appreciated as
a process of interaction rather than solely as a set of outcomes.
Presenting theoretical insights of value to students of regional
and international relations, "Beyond the Handshake" provides a
unique look at the evolving nature of Arab-Israeli relations and
exposes the foundation the multilateral peace process laid for
future regional cooperation in the Middle East.
It is not inevitable that Iran will acquire nuclear weapons or even
that it will gain the capacity to quickly produce them. U.S. and
even Israeli analysts continually push their estimates for such an
event further into the future. Nevertheless, absent a change in
Iranian policy, it is reasonable to assume that, some time in the
coming decade, Iran will acquire such a capability. Most recent
scholarly studies have also focused on how to prevent Iran from
acquiring nuclear weapons. Other, less voluminous writing looks at
what to do after Iran becomes a nuclear power. What has so far been
lacking is a policy framework for dealing with Iran before, after,
and, indeed, during its crossing of the nuclear threshold. This
monograph attempts to fill that gap by providing a midterm strategy
for dealing with Iran that neither begins nor ends at the point at
which Tehran acquires a nuclear weapon capability. It proposes an
approach that neither acquiesces to a nuclear-armed Iran nor
refuses to admit the possibility - indeed, the likelihood - of this
occurring.
The authors describe possible regional security structures and
bilateral U.S. relationships with Iraq and Afghanistan. They
recommend that the United States offer a wide range of security
cooperation activities to compatible future governments in Kabul
and Baghdad and should also plan to hedge against less-favorable
contingencies. They emphasize that the U.S. Air Force should expect
to remain heavily tasked for the foreseeable future.This book
frames potential long-term U.S. security relationships with Iraq
and Afghanistan in a regional context and posits roles of U.S.
forces, especially the Air Force, in supporting these relationships
under a variety of contingencies.
This monograph examines security-related track two diplomacy
efforts in the Middle East and South Asia, including how such
efforts have socialized participants into thinking about security
in more cooperative terms, and whether the ideas generated in track
two forums have been acknowledged at the societal level or
influenced official policy. Kaye concludes with suggestions on how
to improve future track two efforts.
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