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In the 1980s, several Latin American countries suffered through
years of high inflation, as did Israel. Today, high inflations
thwart reform and impede recovery in Russia, Ukraine, and most of
the other former Soviet republics. This book examines the emergence
of such inflation-prone monetary regimes, the financial
predicaments besetting governments in high inflations, and the
difficulties of devising policy strategies that can be sustained
through disinflation to lasting stabilization. It discusses the
manner in which these inflations cause the functioning of the
market economy to deteriorate. High inflations interfere with
information flows between agents and complicate economic
calculations; they make the accounting measurement of economic
results and the monitoring of principal-agent relationships more
difficult; they undermine the basis for intertemporal contractual
commitments, and cause many financial markets to disappear
entirely. These high inflation phenomena challenge our
understanding of monetary economics. Episodes of extreme monetary
instability make us see the scope and limitations of current theory
in clearer perspective. Theories of money and finance that
introduce money only so as to determine the nominal scale of
non-monetary general equilibrium will not explain the deterioration
of economic performance characteristic of high inflations. The
authors conclude this study with an exploration of the theoretical
issues raised by the anomalous evidence from the high inflations.
En ocasiones, la actividad de investigacion llama a contemplar
formas alternativas para enfocar y representar los hechos
estudiados. Ademas de constituir un ejercicio intelectualmente
estimulante, el dialogo interdisciplinario puede generar resultados
relevantes si se evitan traslaciones mecanicas y se respetan las
especificidades de cada campo. Este libro, surgido de los textos
para un curso de posgrado en Economia en la Universidad de San
Andres, discute modos de analisis de temas sociales desde la
perspectiva de los sistemas complejos, al tiempo que investiga
puntos de contacto entre disciplinas sociales y naturales -en
especial, entre economia y fisica. Los modelos aqui estudiados
pueden verse como especies de laboratorios de sistemas sociales
artificiales, donde -un poco al modo de las animaciones visuales de
juegos de rol- se observan mediante simulaciones computacionales
las dinamicas resultantes de la interaccion de conductas
individuales, a su vez tratadas como algoritmos. En el libro se
enfatiza el uso activo de conceptos y herramientas, a partir de la
experiencia acumulada en el desarrollo de modelos sobre temas
especificos del campo socio-economico y en la ensenanza en la
materia. El trabajo esta concebido como una invitacion a nuevas
exploraciones.
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