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Current forecasting methods of the Air Mobility Command (AMC)
Directorate of Logistics are exceedingly reliant on the career
experience of personnel involved and lead to "after the fact"
analysis that are labor intensive. These deficiencies led AMC to
approach the Air Force Research Laboratory with a desire for the
development of a Mobility Aircraft Availability Forecasting (MAAF)
model. The purpose of the proposed MAAF model is threefold: predict
aircraft availability (mission ready aircraft) in order to provide
the Tanker Airlift Control Center (TACC) with a monthly forecast of
the number of aircraft that will be available to fulfill AMC
mission requirements, provide "what if" capabilities that analyze
the effects of mission, tasking, and policy changes, and to provide
foresight into problems associated with aircraft availability
(Briggs, 2003b).
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