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The 2020 United States presidential race is arguably already over
except for about 12 states and 20 counties. If recent presidential
election trends are any indication of what will happen in 2020,
Democrats in Texas and Republicans in New York might as well stay
home on election day because their votes will matter little in the
presidential race. The same might be said for voters in most states
and counties in the United States. Conversely, for those in Ohio,
Florida, Colorado, Iowa, and a handful of other states, every vote
matters. These states will be battered with a barrage of
presidential candidate visits, commercials, political spending, and
countless stories in the media. This book analyzes why the
presidential race has been effectively reduced to about a dozen
states and 20 counties. Contributors to this volume make
substantial updates and additions in light of the 2016 and in
anticipation of the 2020 presidential elections, including 6 new
chapters exploring why some states are swingers in presidential
elections, capable of being won by either of the major candidates.
The volume also adds a chapter examining important swing counties
throughout the country. Presidential Swing States describes what
makes these few states and counties unique and why the presidency
is decided by who wins them. With cases studies written by
prominent political scientists who are experts on these swing
states, Presidential Swing States also explains why some states
have been swingers but no longer are, why some are swinging, and
which states may become the ones that decide the presidency.
The 2020 United States presidential race is arguably already over
except for about 12 states and 20 counties. If recent presidential
election trends are any indication of what will happen in 2020,
Democrats in Texas and Republicans in New York might as well stay
home on election day because their votes will matter little in the
presidential race. The same might be said for voters in most states
and counties in the United States. Conversely, for those in Ohio,
Florida, Colorado, Iowa, and a handful of other states, every vote
matters. These states will be battered with a barrage of
presidential candidate visits, commercials, political spending, and
countless stories in the media. This book analyzes why the
presidential race has been effectively reduced to about a dozen
states and 20 counties. Contributors to this volume make
substantial updates and additions in light of the 2016 and in
anticipation of the 2020 presidential elections, including 6 new
chapters exploring why some states are swingers in presidential
elections, capable of being won by either of the major candidates.
The volume also adds a chapter examining important swing counties
throughout the country. Presidential Swing States describes what
makes these few states and counties unique and why the presidency
is decided by who wins them. With cases studies written by
prominent political scientists who are experts on these swing
states, Presidential Swing States also explains why some states
have been swingers but no longer are, why some are swinging, and
which states may become the ones that decide the presidency.
The 2020 US presidential race was one of the most hotly contested
and contentious in recent American history. While the election
produced the greatest turnout in American history and the highest
percentage turnout in 60 years, the election still came down to a
handful of swing states that ultimately decided the election. In
their third edition of Presidential Swing States, Rafael Jacob and
David Schultz examine the 2020 presidential election, keying in on
the few critical states that actually decided the election and why.
With cases studies written by prominent political scientists who
are experts on these swing states, Presidential Swing States also
explains why some states were swing states but no longer are, why
some continue to be swing states, and what states beyond 2020 may
be the future swing states that decide the presidency. The book
contains in-depth case studies of the swing-states and
swing-counties that decide presidential elections in the United
States. Students in classes on American Politics and Government,
Parties, Campaigns and Elections, State Politics, and the
Presidency will all be well-served by the analyses in this volume,
as will journalists reporting on presidential elections, and the
general public.
Assessing where the red/blue political line lies in swing states
and how it is shifting.Democratic-leaning urban areas in states
that otherwise lean Republican is an increasingly important
phenomenon in American politics, one that will help shape elections
and policy for decades to come. Blue Metros, Red States explores
this phenomenon by analyzing demographic trends, voting patterns,
economic data, and social characteristics of twenty-seven major
metropolitan areas in thirteen swing states-states that will
ultimately decide who is elected president and the party that
controls each chamber of Congress. The book's key finding is a
sharp split between different types of suburbs in swing states.
Close-in suburbs that support denser mixeduse projects and transit
such as light rail mostly vote for Democrats. More distant suburbs
that feature mainly large-lot, single-family detached houses and
lack mass transit often vote for Republicans. The book locates the
red/blue dividing line and assesses the electoral state of play in
every swing state. This red/blue political line is rapidly
shifting, however, as suburbs urbanize and grow more
demographically diverse. Blue Metros, Red States is especially
timely as the 2020 elections draw near.
The 2012 Republican nomination process went on longer than most
pundits predicted early on. While Mitt Romney began the season as
the prohibitive favorite, he was tested repeatedly by what was
seemingly the Republican flavor of the week (including Michele
Bachmann, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, and Rick
Santorum). The sheer number of candidates who were viewed as
legitimate contenders demonstrate the fundamental concern facing
Republicans moving forward: a fractured party. The pro-business,
Tea Party, and evangelical Christian wings disagreed in 2010 on who
would provide the best alternative to Democratic President Barack
Obama and as a result created a crippling nomination period. By the
time Romney was able to claim victory, he was severely wounded
after countless attacks from his fellow Republicans. To this
internal discontent, we can also add the changing national
demographics that could lead to electoral problems for Republicans
in their own right. Consider that Mitt Romney did better with
older, white male voters than John McCain had. Unfortunately, the
share of the national vote for this demographic decreased from 2008
to 2012. As Rand Paul stated recently, the time has come for
Republicans to reach out to individuals who do not fit the
stereotyped Republican image if they have any hope of being
successful. In this volume, we assess how the 2012 GOP nomination
cycle is indicative of just how the Republican Party has become, in
the words of pundit Cuck Warren, a "Mad Men Party in a Modern
Family World."
The 2012 Republican nomination process went on longer than most
pundits predicted early on. While Mitt Romney began the season as
the prohibitive favorite, he was tested repeatedly by what was
seemingly the Republican flavor of the week (including Michele
Bachmann, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, Newt Gingrich, and Rick
Santorum). The sheer number of candidates who were viewed as
legitimate contenders demonstrate the fundamental concern facing
Republicans moving forward: a fractured party. The pro-business,
Tea Party, and evangelical Christian wings disagreed in 2010 on who
would provide the best alternative to Democratic President Barack
Obama and as a result created a crippling nomination period. By the
time Romney was able to claim victory, he was severely wounded
after countless attacks from his fellow Republicans. To this
internal discontent, we can also add the changing national
demographics that could lead to electoral problems for Republicans
in their own right. Consider that Mitt Romney did better with
older, white male voters than John McCain had. Unfortunately, the
share of the national vote for this demographic decreased from 2008
to 2012. As Rand Paul stated recently, the time has come for
Republicans to reach out to individuals who do not fit the
stereotyped Republican image if they have any hope of being
successful. In this volume, we assess how the 2012 GOP nomination
cycle is indicative of just how the Republican Party has become, in
the words of pundit Cuck Warren, a "Mad Men Party in a Modern
Family World."
Throughout history, the Latinx population has contributed
substantially to Nevada's mining, railroad, farming, ranching, and
tourism industries. Latinos in Nevada provides a comprehensive
analysis of this fastest-growing and diverse ethnic group,
exploring the impact of the Hispanic/Latinx population on the
Silver State in the past, present, and future. This extensive study
by a distinguished and multidisciplinary team of scholars discusses
the impact of the Latinx population from the early development of
the state of Nevada and highlights their roles in society, as well
as the specific implications of their growing presence in the
state. It also contemplates the future of the Latinx population and
the role they will continue to play in politics and the economy.
This in-depth examination of a large and relatively understudied
population will be of interest to scholars and students who study
disparities in health and education opportunities as well as the
political and economic climate among Latinos and other groups in
Nevada and beyond. A political, economic, and demographic profile,
this book: Explores the history, growth, and diversity of the
Latinx population. Draws on an array of census data, voter surveys,
statistics, interviews, and health, education, employment, wages,
and immigration statistics. Evaluates key trends in employment,
education, religion, and health. Analyses the dynamics of political
participation, including implications of a growing Latino political
electorate in a western swing state. Assesses key determinants of
health disparities, educational inequities, and civic engagement
among Latinos in the state. Demonstrates the impact of the Great
Recession of 2008 and provides a preliminary assessment of the
COVID-19 pandemic on Latino employment.
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