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In a period of budget austerity, prioritization becomes especially
important for defense policymakers. In order to determine such
priorities, it is first necessary to consider the nature of
conflict and missions the U.S. military may face in the future. By
assessing the key components, or drivers, of the future security
environment (FSE), an unknowable future becomes a bit clearer. This
report provides such an assessment. Drawing on qualitative data
such as national security and foreign policy literature, Defense
Department strategy and operational documents, and interviews with
leading academics and practitioners, this study identifies the
drivers of the FSE in order to guide analysis and decision making.
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