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Error and Inference - Recent Exchanges on Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science... Error and Inference - Recent Exchanges on Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science (Hardcover)
Deborah G. Mayo, Aris Spanos
R2,069 R1,755 Discovery Miles 17 550 Save R314 (15%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Although both philosophers and scientists are interested in how to obtain reliable knowledge in the face of error, there is a gap between their perspectives that has been an obstacle to progress. By means of a series of exchanges between the editors and leaders from the philosophy of science, statistics and economics, this volume offers a cumulative introduction connecting problems of traditional philosophy of science to problems of inference in statistical and empirical modelling practice. Philosophers of science and scientific practitioners are challenged to reevaluate the assumptions of their own theories - philosophical or methodological. Practitioners may better appreciate the foundational issues around which their questions revolve and thereby become better 'applied philosophers'. Conversely, new avenues emerge for finally solving recalcitrant philosophical problems of induction, explanation and theory testing.

Acceptable Evidence - Science and Values in Risk Management (Paperback, New Ed): Deborah G. Mayo, Rachelle D. Hollander Acceptable Evidence - Science and Values in Risk Management (Paperback, New Ed)
Deborah G. Mayo, Rachelle D. Hollander
R2,401 Discovery Miles 24 010 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

In this contributed volume, issues of what counts as evidence of risk are discussed. The authors show that value judgements enter into expert and non-expert characterization of evidence of risk, but they deny that this means that no choice about risk management is better than another, and demonstrate the possibility and importance of objectively grounded risk assessment.

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing - How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (Paperback): Deborah G. Mayo Statistical Inference as Severe Testing - How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (Paperback)
Deborah G. Mayo
R852 Discovery Miles 8 520 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Statistical Inference as Severe Testing - How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (Hardcover): Deborah G. Mayo Statistical Inference as Severe Testing - How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (Hardcover)
Deborah G. Mayo
R1,553 Discovery Miles 15 530 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Mounting failures of replication in social and biological sciences give a new urgency to critically appraising proposed reforms. This book pulls back the cover on disagreements between experts charged with restoring integrity to science. It denies two pervasive views of the role of probability in inference: to assign degrees of belief, and to control error rates in a long run. If statistical consumers are unaware of assumptions behind rival evidence reforms, they can't scrutinize the consequences that affect them (in personalized medicine, psychology, etc.). The book sets sail with a simple tool: if little has been done to rule out flaws in inferring a claim, then it has not passed a severe test. Many methods advocated by data experts do not stand up to severe scrutiny and are in tension with successful strategies for blocking or accounting for cherry picking and selective reporting. Through a series of excursions and exhibits, the philosophy and history of inductive inference come alive. Philosophical tools are put to work to solve problems about science and pseudoscience, induction and falsification.

Error and Inference - Recent Exchanges on Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science... Error and Inference - Recent Exchanges on Experimental Reasoning, Reliability, and the Objectivity and Rationality of Science (Paperback)
Deborah G. Mayo, Aris Spanos
R1,043 Discovery Miles 10 430 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Although both philosophers and scientists are interested in how to obtain reliable knowledge in the face of error, there is a gap between their perspectives that has been an obstacle to progress. By means of a series of exchanges between the editors and leaders from the philosophy of science, statistics and economics, this volume offers a cumulative introduction connecting problems of traditional philosophy of science to problems of inference in statistical and empirical modelling practice. Philosophers of science and scientific practitioners are challenged to reevaluate the assumptions of their own theories - philosophical or methodological. Practitioners may better appreciate the foundational issues around which their questions revolve and thereby become better 'applied philosophers'. Conversely, new avenues emerge for finally solving recalcitrant philosophical problems of induction, explanation and theory testing.

Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge (Paperback, 2nd ed.): Deborah G. Mayo Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge (Paperback, 2nd ed.)
Deborah G. Mayo
R1,631 Discovery Miles 16 310 Ships in 18 - 22 working days

We may learn from our mistakes, but Deborah Mayo argues that, where experimental knowledge is concerned, we haven't begun to learn enough. "Error and the Growth of Experimental Knowledge" launches a vigorous critique of the subjective Bayesian view of statistical inference, and proposes Mayo's own error-statistical approach as a more robust framework for the epistemology of experiment. Mayo genuinely addresses the needs of researchers who work with statistical analysis, and simultaneously engages the basic philosophical problems of objectivity and rationality.
Mayo has long argued for an account of learning from error that goes far beyond detecting logical inconsistencies. In this book, she presents her complete program for how we learn about the world by being "shrewd inquisitors of error, white gloves off." Her tough, practical approach will be important to philosophers, historians, and sociologists of science, and will be welcomed by researchers in the physical, biological, and social sciences whose work depends upon statistical analysis.

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