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A New York Times bestseller
In a remarkable career, Edward O. Thorp
rose up from nothing to become a professor at MIT, invented card
counting and the world's first wearable computer, beat the casinos
of Las Vegas at blackjack and roulette, then became a bestselling
author and a hedge fund heavyweight, ushering in a revolution on
Wall Street. Now he shares his incredible life story for the first
time, revealing how he made his fortune and giving advice to the
next generation of investors. An intellectual thrill ride, replete
with practical wisdom, A Man for All Markets is a scarcely
imaginable tale of ludicrous success.
This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula
or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The
strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by
maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a
logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only
the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and
minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general,
the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets
increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than
those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time,
the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other
bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a
small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at
the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly
strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The
various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written
specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory
and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are
discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth
strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of
these ideas by great investors are featured.
This volume provides the definitive treatment of fortune's formula
or the Kelly capital growth criterion as it is often called. The
strategy is to maximize long run wealth of the investor by
maximizing the period by period expected utility of wealth with a
logarithmic utility function. Mathematical theorems show that only
the log utility function maximizes asymptotic long run wealth and
minimizes the expected time to arbitrary large goals. In general,
the strategy is risky in the short term but as the number of bets
increase, the Kelly bettor's wealth tends to be much larger than
those with essentially different strategies. So most of the time,
the Kelly bettor will have much more wealth than these other
bettors but the Kelly strategy can lead to considerable losses a
small percent of the time. There are ways to reduce this risk at
the cost of lower expected final wealth using fractional Kelly
strategies that blend the Kelly suggested wager with cash. The
various classic reprinted papers and the new ones written
specifically for this volume cover various aspects of the theory
and practice of dynamic investing. Good and bad properties are
discussed, as are fixed-mix and volatility induced growth
strategies. The relationships with utility theory and the use of
these ideas by great investors are featured.
A winning strategy for the game of 21. The essentials, consolidated in simple charts, can be understood and memorized by the average player.
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