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Declining water levels caused by withdrawals of water from wells in
the west-central part of the Denver Basin bedrock-aquifer system
have raised concerns with respect to the ability of the aquifer
system to sustain production. The Arapahoe aquifer in particular is
heavily used in this area. Two optimization analyses were conducted
to demonstrate approaches that could be used to evaluate possible
future pumping scenarios intended to prolong the productivity of
the aquifer and to delay excessive loss of saturated thickness.
These analyses were designed as demonstrations only, and were not
intended as a comprehensive optimization study. Optimization
analyses were based on a groundwater-flow model of the Denver Basin
developed as part of a recently published U.S. Geological Survey
groundwater-availability study. For each analysis an optimization
problem was set up to maximize total withdrawal rate, subject to
withdrawal-rate and hydraulic-head constraints, for 119 selected
municipal water-supply wells located in 96 model cells. The
optimization analyses were based on 50- and 100-year simulations of
groundwater withdrawals. The optimized total withdrawal rate for
all selected wells for a 50-year simulation time was about 58.8
cubic feet per second. For an analysis in which the simulation time
and head-constraint time were extended to 100 years, the optimized
total withdrawal rate for all selected wells was about 53.0 cubic
feet per second, demonstrating that a reduction in withdrawal rate
of about 10 percent may extend the time before the hydraulic-head
constraints are violated by 50 years, provided that pumping rates
are optimally distributed. Analysis of simulation results showed
that initially, the pumping produces water primarily by release of
water from storage in the Arapahoe aquifer. However, because
confining layers between the Denver and Arapahoe aquifers are thin,
in less than 5 years, most of the water removed by managed-flows
pumping likely would be supplied by depleting overlying
hydrogeologic units, substantially increasing the rate of decline
of hydraulic heads in parts of the overlying Denver aquifer.
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