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Capital theory and dynamics are cornerstones for almost every
branch of economics. Except in a fictional world where the
economies of yesterday, today, and tomorrow are identical, issues
of capital formation and dynamic behaviour must always arise.
Although the specialist literature is technically demanding,
Professor Burmeister shows that its important results can be
understood and their economic significance grasped by those who do
not possess the "mathematical literacy" required to follow rigorous
proofs. Even if future events are known with certainty, they still
influence the current economic state. This is the pure role of
time. That future events are not known with certainty adds another
complexity. This book focuses mainly on the pure role of time.
Models of the American economy exist in government, research
institutes, universities, and private corporations. Given the
proliferation, it is wise to take stock because these models come
from diverse sources and describe different conditions from
alternative points of view. They could be saying different things
about the economy. The high-level comparative studies in this
volume, gathered from several issues of the International Economic
Review, with a substantive introduction and the addition of more
comparative material, evaluate the performance of eleven models of
the American economy: the Wharton Mark Ill Model; Brookings Model;
Hickman-Coen Annual Model; Liu-Hwa Monthly Model; Data Resources,
Inc. (DRI) Model; Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Model; Michigan
Quarterly Econometric (MOEM) Model; Wharton Annual and Industry
Model; Anticipation Version of the Wharton Mark Ill Model/Fair
Model; U.S. Department of Commerce (BEA) Model.Each of the
proprietors or builders of these models describes his own system in
his own words. These studies come closer than ever before to
standardizing model operations for testing purposes.Some of the
models are monthly, while others are annual. but the quarterly unit
of time is the most frequent. Some are demand oriented, others are
supply oriented, and focus on the input-output sectors of the
economy. Some use only observed. objective data; others use
subjective. anticipatory data. Both large and small models are
included. In spite of the diversity, the contributors have
cooperated to trace the differences between their models to root
causes and to report jointly the results of their research. There
are also some general papers that look at model performance from
outside the CEME group.
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