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This IMA Volume in Mathematics and its Applications TIME SERIES
ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS TO GEOPHYSICAL SYSTEMS contains papers
presented at a very successful workshop on the same title. The
event which was held on November 12-15, 2001 was an integral part
of the IMA 2001-2002 annual program on " Mathematics in the
Geosciences. " We would like to thank David R. Brillinger
(Department of Statistics, Uni versity of California, Berkeley),
Enders Anthony Robinson (Department of Earth and Environmental
Engineering, Columbia University), and Fred eric Paik Schoenberg
(Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles)
for their superb role as workshop organizers and editors of the
proceedings. We are also grateful to Robert H. Shumway (Department
of Statistics, University of California, Davis) for his help in
organizing the four-day event. We take this opportunity to thank
the National Science Foundation for its support of the IMA. Series
Editors Douglas N. Arnold, Director of the IMA Fadil Santosa,
Deputy Director of the IMA v PREFACE This volume contains a
collection of papers that were presented dur ing the Workshop on
Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems at the
Institute for Mathematics and its Applications (IMA) at the
University of Minnesota from November 12-15, 2001. This was part of
the IMA Thematic Year on Mathematics in the Geosciences, and was
the last in a series of four Workshops during the Fall Quarter
dedicated to Dynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory."
This IMA Volume in Mathematics and its Applications TIME SERIES
ANALYSIS AND APPLICATIONS TO GEOPHYSICAL SYSTEMS contains papers
presented at a very successful workshop on the same title. The
event which was held on November 12-15, 2001 was an integral part
of the IMA 2001-2002 annual program on " Mathematics in the
Geosciences. " We would like to thank David R. Brillinger
(Department of Statistics, Uni versity of California, Berkeley),
Enders Anthony Robinson (Department of Earth and Environmental
Engineering, Columbia University), and Fred eric Paik Schoenberg
(Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles)
for their superb role as workshop organizers and editors of the
proceedings. We are also grateful to Robert H. Shumway (Department
of Statistics, University of California, Davis) for his help in
organizing the four-day event. We take this opportunity to thank
the National Science Foundation for its support of the IMA. Series
Editors Douglas N. Arnold, Director of the IMA Fadil Santosa,
Deputy Director of the IMA v PREFACE This volume contains a
collection of papers that were presented dur ing the Workshop on
Time Series Analysis and Applications to Geophysical Systems at the
Institute for Mathematics and its Applications (IMA) at the
University of Minnesota from November 12-15, 2001. This was part of
the IMA Thematic Year on Mathematics in the Geosciences, and was
the last in a series of four Workshops during the Fall Quarter
dedicated to Dynamical Systems and Ergodic Theory."
Millions of Americans have ancestors who were involved, in one way
or another, in the Salem Witchcraft epidemic of 1692. There are
even more people all over the world who have a natural curiosity
and a general interest in specific aspects of the witchcraft
affair. Genealogy can provide a doorway to the past, as it provides
a means of looking into family connections and community
relationships. It helps to break down figurative stone walls and
clear up misty areas to get to hard facts. Knowledge of the
specific features of the events that motivated the people in the
witchcraft aberration can be a source of inspiration in the
understanding of otherwise inexplicable events. The location of the
witchcraft outbreak in February 1692 was Salem Village. Today it is
known as the town of Danvers, a name chosen to cover up the past.
This book is concerned with the phase of the Salem witch-hunt that
spilled over into the neighboring town of Andover. This old town of
Andover embraces the modern towns of North Andover and Andover. In
a letter of October 8, 1692, THOMAS BRATTLE wrote, "This consulting
of these afflicted children, about their sickness, was the unhappy
beginning of the unhappy troubles at poor Andover. Poor Andover
does now rue the day that ever the said afflicted went among them;
they lament their folly, and are an object of great pity and
commiseration." This book is based upon the common threads of
birth, marriage, and death that all people share and understand
when looking towards the past. In 1692, the condemned witches were
put to death on Gallows Hill in Salem. It is a rocky hill on the
outskirts of Salem Town. Scattered with the few oaks and locust
trees that are able to take root in its shallow soil, the hill
overlooks the Atlantic Ocean beyond. As if it were too great, too
mighty for common benefits, the ocean has no compassion, no law, no
memory, no faith. Its eternal nature is hidden in mystery.
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