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Leading authorities analyze growing tensions in US-China relations
and what this means for the future The US-China relationship is now
defined by “strategic competition.” In Cold Rivals, a
distinguished group of scholars from the United States and China
examine the reasons for this deterioration and its implications for
world politics. The two countries are now competitors locked in a
long-term rivalry, but how volatile this rivalry will become is
still to be determined. The book explores not only the historical
roots and contemporary foreign policy aspects of this era, but also
looks at the economic, military, and technological arenas of
US-China strategic competition. In doing so, this volume highlights
important differences in US and Chinese perspectives. A final
section of the volume explores future scenarios for this
relationship from a variety of perspectives, all coming to a
sobering conclusion. This policy-relevant book provides a
comprehensive overview of US-China strategic competition and
reinvigorates thinking about how to avoid reaching a crisis point.
Escalation is a natural tendency in any form of human competition,
and today's security environment demands that the United States be
prepared for a host of escalatory threats. This analysis of
escalation dynamics and approaches to escalation management draws
on a range of historical examples from World War I to the struggle
against global Jihad to inform escalation-related decisionmaking.
"Reluctant Restraint" examines one of the most important changes in
Chinese foreign policy since the country opened to the world:
China's gradual move to support the nonproliferation of nuclear
weapons, missiles, and their related goods and technologies. Once a
critic of the global nonproliferation regime, China is now a
supporter of it, although with some reservations. Medeiros analyzes
how and why Chinese nonproliferation policies have evolved so
substantially since the early 1980s. He argues that U.S. diplomacy
has played a significant and enduring role in shaping China's
gradual recognition of the dangers of proliferation, and in its
subsequent altered behavior.
Leading authorities analyze growing tensions in US-China relations
and what this means for the future The US-China relationship is now
defined by “strategic competition.” In Cold Rivals, a
distinguished group of scholars from the United States and China
examine the reasons for this deterioration and its implications for
world politics. The two countries are now competitors locked in a
long-term rivalry, but how volatile this rivalry will become is
still to be determined. The book explores not only the historical
roots and contemporary foreign policy aspects of this era, but also
looks at the economic, military, and technological arenas of
US-China strategic competition. In doing so, this volume highlights
important differences in US and Chinese perspectives. A final
section of the volume explores future scenarios for this
relationship from a variety of perspectives, all coming to a
sobering conclusion. This policy-relevant book provides a
comprehensive overview of US-China strategic competition and
reinvigorates thinking about how to avoid reaching a crisis point.
Since at least the early 1950s, the entire Asia-Pacific region has
struggled with the complicated and complex relationship between
China and Taiwan -today the Taiwan question is considered a
potential flashpoint for a much larger international conflict.
Bringing together experts from the United States and Taiwan,
Assessing the Threat provides a comprehensive look at the dangers
of military escalation in the Taiwan Strait, the latest advances in
capabilities of the People's Liberation Army, and China's security
relationship with the United States and the Asia-Pacific. There is
increasing concern that Beijing is steadily shifting the balance of
power across the Taiwan Strait in its favor. Recent advances in
Chinese air and naval power, along with changes in PLA doctrine,
have the potential to weaken deterrence and destabilize the
cross-strait military balance. At this critical juncture, there is
not question that this issue requires sustained, detailed analysis
and that many measures can and should be taken to reduce the threat
of conflict between China, Taiwan, and the United States. Assessing
the Threat offers such analysis as well as concrete suggestions and
crisis management practices for government and military leaders in
Washington, D.C., Beijing, and Taipei.
Global arms proliferation continues to be a key concern for the
United States, particularly the export role of the People's
Republic of China (PRC). Although China experienced a significant
decline in its arms exports in the 1990s (down from the boom times
of the 1980s), the PRC provides a significant array of lethal
weapons and sensitive defense technologies to states around the
world. These exports provide an invaluable means by which to assess
the progress and performance of China's military-industrial
complex. Moreover, these products may present the very systems and
technological know-how that the United States and allied forces
will encounter in a future conflict.
China is now a global actor of significant and growing importance.
It is involved in regions and on issues that were once only
peripheral to its interests, and it is effectively using tools
previously unavailable. China's international behavior is clearly
altering the dynamics of the current international system, but it
is not transforming its structure. China's global activism is
continually changing and has so many dimensions that it immediately
raises questions about China's current and future intentions. This
study provides a conceptual and empirical framework to assess these
important trends. It examines how China views its security
environment, how it defines its international objectives, how it is
pursuing them, and the consequences for U.S. economic and security
interests. For more than 60 years, decisionmakers in the public and
private sectors have turned to the RAND Corporation for objective
analysis and effective solutions that address the challenges facing
the nation and the world.
This report analyzes the individual strengths and weaknesses of
China's defense industrial complex. It examines four specific
defense-industrial sectors - missiles, aircraft, shipbuilding, and
information technology. It argues that China's defense industry is
gradually emerging from two and a half decades of neglect,
inefficiency and corruption. As part of a larger RAND Project AIR
FORCE study on Chinese military modernization, this document
analyzes the individual strengths and weaknesses of four specific
defense-industrial sectors - missile, aircraft, shipbuilding, and
information technology - to explain variations in performance among
those sectors, with a focus on differences in institutional
arrangements, incentives, and exposure to market forces, and to
evaluate the prospects for China's defense industry and its ability
to contribute to military modernization.
This book examines the structure and operation of the Chinese
government's controls on exports of items that could be used in the
production of weapons of mass destruction.
Projects future growth in Chinese defense expenditures, evaluates
the current and likely future capabilities of China's defense
industries, and compares likely future defense expenditure levels
with recent expenditures by the United States and the U.S. Air
Force. Projects future growth in Chinese government expenditures as
a whole and on defense in particular, evaluates the current and
likely future capabilities of China's defense industries, and
compares likely future expenditure levels with recent defense
expenditures by the United States and the U.S. Air Force. The
authors forecast that Chinese military spending is likely to rise
from an estimated $69 billion in 2003 to $185 billion by
2025-approximately 61 percent of what the Department of Defense
spent in 2003.
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