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The main novelty of the Fourth Industrial Revolution is the entry
of robots and Artificial Intelligence into the production process.
This phenomenon could potentially generate high levels of
unemployment, or even full unemployment, and therefore calls for
innovative public policies. This book adopts an agnostic position
on the size of the future impact of technological progress on
employment but proposes a thought experiment built on a full
unemployment scenario, which focuses on the consequences that these
policies might have for people’s well-being, with particular
reference to the provision of a universal Basic Income (UBI).
Relying on some of the principles and models of Behavioral and
Happiness Economics, it is argued that implementing a UBI that does
not change over time may increase well-being inequality. A policy
mix that combines a rising basic income with other measures is
therefore recommended. This book marks a significant contribution
to the literature on economic policy, labor economics, the
economics of well-being and happiness, and behavioral economics.
Technological progress and globalization have generated
indisputable benefits, but also relevant costs, such as growing
economic inequality, economic fluctuations, and financial
instability. Mainstream economics has usually considered these
costs as temporary, evenly distributed, and more than compensated
by the gains of the phases of economic expansion. In this book,
which focuses mainly (though not only) on the labor market, the
authors contend that the major costs of the intensified process of
creative destruction, through which economic change proceeded, have
been ignored and the benefits overrated, thus incorrectly
estimating the net impact of economic growth on subjective
wellbeing. The book argues that the positive consequences of
economic change and globalization may not compensate for the
negatives, because psychological losses are felt more strongly than
gains (due to loss aversion) and the costs are unequally
distributed (those on low incomes disproportionately suffer more).
The result is an overall reduction in wellbeing and therefore
appropriate policies are necessary to allow more people to enjoy
the benefits of technological progress without suffering the costs.
The authors develop a comprehensive framework in which the
socio-psychological context and educational level of a community
determine the most suitable policies both for the short and for the
long run. The book makes an invaluable contribution to the
literature on economic growth and development, labor economics, the
economics of wellbeing, and applications of behavioral economics.
The readers that may be interested in this book are economists and
other social scientists, but also general readers, since the
analysis is maintained simple and accessible. University teachers
can use the book for courses on economic growth and development, on
labor economics, on the economics of human capital, on the
economics of wellbeing, and on applications of behavioral
economics.
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