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When we set about organizing EPIA 2003 in Porto during the APPIA
meeting at the previous edition of the conference, EPIA 2001, it
was decided that it would be organized by Fernando Moura Pires (Faj
e) and myself. We chose Beja as the venue to host the conference,
as it provided a good support infrastructure and Fernando had a
good working relationship with several people at the Beja
Polytechnic Institute. Shortly thereafter, Fernando came to know
that he was ailing from a disease
thatwastotakehislifeinMay2003.Aswithmanyotherprojectsinwhichhegot
involved, Fernando clung to the organization of this conference
with dedication and perseverance, even while knowing that he might
not see the results of his work. EPIA 2003 is a tribute to his
work. Taking up on the successful experience gained from EPIA 2001,
we decided to structure EPIA 2003 as a set of ?ve distinct
workshops, roughly re?ecting the panorama of AI research in
Portugal. Special thanks are due to the organizers of each
workshop, for the quality and timeliness of the work they carried
out. The conference was all the more interesting because of the
eight invited p- sentations and tutorials, by Alexander Bockmayr,
Am ?lcar Cardoso, Dario F- reano, HaroldBoley, PedroDomingos,
PieterAdriaans, VeronicaDahlandVitor Santos Costa. There are short
one-page abstracts included in these proceedings for some of these
presentations."
Forecasting electricity demand is a very important task for the
agents of the Electricity Generation and Distribution Sectors. In
this study we present a theoritical background about Brazil's Power
Sector Conjuncture and also a review of Quantitative Methods used
to estimate electricity consumption around the world. It is
estimated a SARMAX model to the three main electricity consumption
sectors with mensal data from January 2003 to September 2010.
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