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The business of credit ratings began in the United States in the
early 1900s. Over time, credit ratings have gradually taken on an
expanding role, both in the United States and abroad and in
official financial market regulation as well as in private capital
market decisions. However, in 1999 the Bank for International
Settlements (through its Committee on Banking Supervision) proposed
rule changes that would provide an explicit role for credit ratings
in determining a bank's required regulatory risk capital. Once
implemented, this BIS proposal (often referred to as Basel 2) would
vastly elevate the importance of credit ratings by linking the
required measure of bank capital to the credit rating of the bank's
obligors. With these regulatory changes under active discussion,
research into the role for ratings and rating agencies in the
global financial system is particularly apropos.
Ratings, Rating Agencies and the Global Financial System brings together the research of economists at New York University and the University of Maryland, along with those from the private sector, government bodies, and other universities. The first section of the volume focuses on the historical origins of the credit rating business and its present day industrial organization structure. The second section presents several empirical studies crafted largely around individual firm-level or bank-level data. These studies examine (a) the relationship between ratings and the default and recovery experience of corporate borrowers, (b) the comparability of credit ratings made by domestic and foreign rating agencies, and (c) the usefulness of financial market indicators for rating banks, among other topics. In the third section, the record of sovereign credit ratings in predicting financial crises and the reaction of financial markets to changes in credit ratings is examined. The final section of the volume emphasizes policy issues now facing regulators and credit rating agencies.
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