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This book addresses a number of controversies in political economy
of political support in three Anglo-American polities-Canada, Great
Britain, and the United States. It addresses a range of theoretical
issues concerning which variables properly belong in political
economy models.
This book addresses a number of controversies in political economy
of political support in three Anglo-American polities-Canada, Great
Britain, and the United States. It addresses a range of theoretical
issues concerning which variables properly belong in political
economy models.
In June 2016, the United Kingdom shocked the world by voting to
leave the European Union. As this book reveals, the historic vote
for Brexit marked the culmination of trends in domestic politics
and in the UK's relationship with the EU that have been building
over many years. Drawing on a wealth of survey evidence collected
over more than ten years, this book explains why most people
decided to ignore much of the national and international community
and vote for Brexit. Drawing on past research on voting in major
referendums in Europe and elsewhere, a team of leading academic
experts analyse changes in the UK's party system that were
catalysts for the referendum vote, including the rise of the UK
Independence Party (UKIP), the dynamics of public opinion during an
unforgettable and divisive referendum campaign, the factors that
influenced how people voted and the likely economic and political
impact of this historic decision.
In June 2016, the United Kingdom shocked the world by voting to
leave the European Union. As this book reveals, the historic vote
for Brexit marked the culmination of trends in domestic politics
and in the UK's relationship with the EU that have been building
over many years. Drawing on a wealth of survey evidence collected
over more than ten years, this book explains why most people
decided to ignore much of the national and international community
and vote for Brexit. Drawing on past research on voting in major
referendums in Europe and elsewhere, a team of leading academic
experts analyse changes in the UK's party system that were
catalysts for the referendum vote, including the rise of the UK
Independence Party (UKIP), the dynamics of public opinion during an
unforgettable and divisive referendum campaign, the factors that
influenced how people voted and the likely economic and political
impact of this historic decision.
Affluence, Austerity and Electoral Change in Britain investigates
the political economy of party support for British political
parties since Tony Blair led New Labour to power in 1997. Using
valence politics models of electoral choice and marshalling an
unprecedented wealth of survey data collected in the British
Election Study's monthly Continuous Monitoring Surveys, the authors
trace forces affecting support for New Labour during its thirteen
years in office. They then study how the recessionary economy has
influenced the dynamics of party support since the
Conservative-Liberal Democrat Coalition came to power in May 2010
and factors that shaped voting in Britain's May 2011 national
referendum on changing the electoral system. Placing Britain in
comparative perspective with cross-national survey data gathered in
the midst of the worst recession since the 1930s, the authors
investigate how the economic crisis has affected support for
incumbent governments and democratic politics in over twenty
European countries.
Why do people vote as they do? Indeed, why do they vote at all?
What do they think about elections, political parties, and
democracy? This important book by four leading scholars addresses
these questions. Using a wealth of data from the 1964-2001 British
election studies, monthly Gallup polls, and numerous other national
surveys conducted over the past four decades, the authors test the
explanatory power of rival sociological and individual rationality
models of turnout and party choice. Analyses of party choice
endorse a valence politics model that challenges the long-dominant
social class model. British voters make their political choices by
evaluating the performance of parties and party leaders in economic
and other important policy areas. Although these evaluations may be
products of events and conditions that occur long before an
election campaign officially begins, parties' national and local
campaign activities are also influential. Consistent with the
valence politics model, partisan attachments display individual-
and aggregate-level dynamics that reflect ongoing judgements about
the managerial abilities of parties and their leaders. A general
incentives model provides the best explanation of turnout.
Calculations of the costs and influence-discounted benefits of
voting and sense of civic duty are key variables in this model.
Significantly, the decline in turnout in recent elections does not
reflect more general negative trends in public attitudes about the
political system. Voters judge the performance of British democracy
in much the same way as they evaluate its parties and politicians.
Support at all levels of the system is a renewable resource, but
one that must be renewed. A command of theory, data, models, and
method ensure that Political Choice in Britain will be a major
resource for all those interested in elections, voting, and
democracy.
Why do people vote as they do? Indeed, why do they vote at all?
What do they think about elections and democracy? This book
addresses these questions by focusing on the explanatory power of
rival sociological and "individual rationality" models. Data from
the latest British Election Study, earlier election studies and
monthly opinion polls reveal that government and party performance,
rather than social class, provides the superior explanation of vote
choice.
The related subjects of political legitimacy and system support are
key theoretical concerns of students of democratic societies. They
have received very little scholarly attention, however, because of
the conceptual and methodological complexities they engender. In
this book, the authors address these concerns through systematic
multivariate analyses of the sources, distribution and consequences
of variations in citizen support for key political objects in one
such society, Canada. Although they do so within a comparative
context, their primary focus is on Canada because it is not only
one of the world's oldest democracies, but is a country that has
experienced support problems that periodically have reached crisis
proportions. Many of the problems facing Canada are extreme
examples of difficulties that have vexed other democracies and this
study helps illuminate both the conditions under which democracies
in general are able to sustain themselves and those under which
they could flounder.
The related subjects of political legitimacy and system support are
key theoretical concerns of students of democratic societies. They
have received very little scholarly attention, however, because of
the conceptual and methodological complexities they engender. In
this book, the authors address these concerns through systematic
multivariate analyses of the sources, distribution and consequences
of variations in citizen support for key political objects in one
such society, Canada. Although they do so within a comparative
context, their primary focus is on Canada because it is not only
one of the world's oldest democracies, but is a country that has
experienced support problems that periodically have reached crisis
proportions. Many of the problems facing Canada are extreme
examples of difficulties that have vexed other democracies and this
study helps illuminate both the conditions under which democracies
in general are able to sustain themselves and those under which
they could flounder. The authors demonstrate that political support
has its origins in people's political socialization experiences and
their judgments about the operation of key political and economic
institutions and processes. They find that political support is not
"of a piece" and that average citizens are able to distinguish
among and ascribe different degrees of support to key political
objects such as Parliament, the bureaucracy, the judiciary,
parties, the system of federalism, and the national political
community itself.
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