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Should Banks' Stress Test Results be Disclosed? An Analysis of the
Costs and Benefits reviews the theoretical literature on
disclosure, tying it to the recent policy debate on whether
stress-test results should be disclosed. The authors review the
nature of stress tests required by the Dodd-Frank act and conducted
by the Federal Reserve, an important aspect of which is the public
disclosure of the results. Then, it compares the arguments for and
against the disclosure of banks' stress test results. While the
rationale for disclosing stress test results may seem intuitive in
the wake of the financial crisis, some argue that disclosing these
results may actually have negative unintended consequences. Using
insights from recent theoretical models, the authors provide a
framework for understanding these negative unintended consequences.
The authors argue that the benefits of disclosing stress-test
results are clear: stress tests may uncover unique information
about banks allowing both bank supervisors and market participants
to exercise discipline on the bank's behavior. But because banks
operate in second-best environments that are prone to
externalities, there are inherent costs associated with such
disclosures, and proper understanding of the sources of these costs
would better inform the debate and guide regulators when designing
stress tests and handling the disclosures. Should Banks' Stress
Test Results be Disclosed? An Analysis of the Costs and Benefits is
organized as follows. After a brief introduction, Section 2 reviews
the nature of stress tests and considers the unique information
they provide to outsiders. Section 3 explains how disclosures of
stress tests could provide regulatory and market discipline, and
the positive impact such discipline may have on economic
efficiency. The main section, Section 4, provides an in-depth
review of the possible costs of disclosure. Building on the
previous section, Section 5 shows that there are non-trivial
trade-offs associated with disclosure of stress-test result, and
provides several policy recommendations for regulators regarding
test design and disclosure of results. Section 6 concludes by
reiterating the need for the development of a framework that
captures the combined effects on all banks, and the challenge this
poses for academics and policy makers.
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