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In this era of non-stop information flow, many of us are deluged with so much information that we hardly have time to take it all in much less subject it to even cursory evaluation. Much of this information seems to be important to us, recommending a laundry list of behaviors, diets and products that promise to enhance our health or other aspects of life in various ways. We often encounter conflicting opinions regarding what is good for us. Is a cup of morning coffee beneficial or harmful? What about an occasional glass of wine? This book examines some basic aspects of evaluating information presented to us as being scientific.
The ability to consistently make one's best possible decisions can be a major factor in achieving success in life. A systematic process for accomplishing this goal, along with relevant examples are described. In addition, important background material on goal setting, the nature of information, related aspects of human nature and key perspectives of time and space are discussed. Applying the process to forming rational opinions in such areas as religion and politics is also addressed. The semi-quantitative process that the author calls "Probabilistic Rationalism" is derived from more formal decision theory methodology routinely used by management in making crucial business decisions, especially in situation possessing a significant degree of uncertainty. Applying this useful technique to situations frequently encountered in every-day life can help achieve a "gold medal" in that most important game, "the game of life."
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