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In 1978, faced with the pressure to modernize and a declining
budget, the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) reluctantly
agreed to join China's economic reform drive, expanding its
internal economy to market-oriented civilian production. This work
examines PLA's role in the economy up to 1998.
A comprehensive examination of the transformation of the Chinese
People's Liberation Army into one of the most important actors in
the Chinese economy -- an amalgam of military and commercial
interests controlling a multi-billion dollar international business
empire. The author provides the first documentary analysis of
decision-making surrounding the origins of this post-1978 military-
business complex. He offers a detailed picture of the system's
wide-ranging structure and sectoral interests, and links this
military commercialism to the rise of corruption in the ranks.
Considers potential Chinese responses to U.S. transformation
efforts and offers possible U.S. counterresponses. For the past
decade, Chinese military strategists have keenly observed the
changes in U.S. national strategy and military transformation. This
report examines the constraints, facilitators, and potential
options for Chinese responses to U.S. transformation efforts and
offers possible U.S. counterresponses (particularly in light of
whether Taiwan moves toward or away from formal independence).
This report analyzes the individual strengths and weaknesses of
China's defense industrial complex. It examines four specific
defense-industrial sectors - missiles, aircraft, shipbuilding, and
information technology. It argues that China's defense industry is
gradually emerging from two and a half decades of neglect,
inefficiency and corruption. As part of a larger RAND Project AIR
FORCE study on Chinese military modernization, this document
analyzes the individual strengths and weaknesses of four specific
defense-industrial sectors - missile, aircraft, shipbuilding, and
information technology - to explain variations in performance among
those sectors, with a focus on differences in institutional
arrangements, incentives, and exposure to market forces, and to
evaluate the prospects for China's defense industry and its ability
to contribute to military modernization.
Projects future growth in Chinese defense expenditures, evaluates
the current and likely future capabilities of China's defense
industries, and compares likely future defense expenditure levels
with recent expenditures by the United States and the U.S. Air
Force. Projects future growth in Chinese government expenditures as
a whole and on defense in particular, evaluates the current and
likely future capabilities of China's defense industries, and
compares likely future expenditure levels with recent defense
expenditures by the United States and the U.S. Air Force. The
authors forecast that Chinese military spending is likely to rise
from an estimated $69 billion in 2003 to $185 billion by
2025-approximately 61 percent of what the Department of Defense
spent in 2003.
Analyzes the dynamics of the transfer of technology and capital
between Taiwan and China and assesses their impact on cross-Strait
relations and the worldwide semiconductor industry The flows of
trade and investment across the Taiwan Strait have increased
dramatically in recent years, driven largely by the increasing
integration of the information technology (IT) sectors of Taiwan
and the People's Republic of China. This report examines the
economic and political implications of cross-Strait flows of
technology and capital. The authors comprehensively analyze the
investment and IT transfer dynamics between Taiwan and China and
their implications for the global semiconductor industry and U.S.
policymaking.
Is U.S. high-technology manufacturing at risk? In response to the
concern that an increasing amount of high-technology manufacturing
formerly performed in the United States is now being done overseas,
the Office of Science and Technology Policy asked the Rand
Corporation to provide analytic support to the President's Council
of Advisors on Science and Technology. The support included a
description of past and current trends of U.S. high-tech
manufacturing, a theoretical and empirical economic analysis of
traditional and high-tech manufacturing, and an analysis of U.S.
research and development statistics and of trends in choices of
academic disciplines.
This work presents the results of a conference that brought
together experts to evaluate issues of structure and process in the
People's Liberation Army.
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