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In his study of Canada, John A. Stovel examines the changes in that
country's balance of payments and balance of trade from
confederation to the present day, including as part of his
examination historical, statistical, and theoretical points of
view. The author also reexamines critically-and finds himself in
sharp disagreement with-Jacob Viner's classic in the field,
Canada's Balance of International Indebtedness, 1900-1913, which
has long been considered the definitive analysis of the subject.
Developing in Part I an eclectic theory of international balance of
payments, and in Part II concentrating on the Canadian balance of
trade and balance of payments in relation to economic developments
preceding World War I, Stovel carefully prepares the foundation for
a critique of Viner's analysis of the period 1900-1913. Discussing
the inadequacy of the Mill-Taussig theory and its empirical
verification, and observing the extent to which the newer
theoretical developments have afforded increased understanding,
Stovel criticizes Viner's statistics and the use to which they were
put. He delineates with telling clarity the mutual interaction of
many elements in cyclical growth development, as opposed to the
oversimplified and inadequate causal links of the earlier theory.
In addition to the wealth of analysis of the earlier period, the
author investigates the interwar period, with the postwar boom and
the depression of the thirties, presenting a careful analysis of
the structural changes in the balance of payments during this
period as well as indicating the change in Canada's relation to the
United States and Great Britain. The concluding section of the book
deals with the period following World War II, and the author
indicates the possible lessons to be learned from Canada's
experiences and the improvements in government policy that have
taken place, especially with respect to exchange rates.
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