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What an intensely divisive election portends for American politics
The year 2020 was a tumultuous time in American politics. It
brought a global pandemic, protests for racial justice, and a
razor-thin presidential election outcome. It culminated in an
attack on the U.S. Capitol that attempted to deny Joe Biden’s
victory. The Bitter End explores the long-term trends and
short-term shocks that shaped this dramatic year and what these
changes could mean for the future. John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch,
and Lynn Vavreck demonstrate that Trump’s presidency intensified
the partisan politics of the previous decades and the identity
politics of the 2016 election. Presidential elections have become
calcified, with less chance of big swings in either party’s
favor. Republicans remained loyal to Trump and kept the election
close, despite Trump’s many scandals, a recession, and the
pandemic. But in a narrowly divided electorate even small changes
can have big consequences. The pandemic was a case in point: when
Trump pushed to reopen the country even as infections mounted,
support for Biden increased. The authors explain that,
paradoxically, even as Biden’s win came at a time of heightened
party loyalty, there remained room for shifts that shaped the
election’s outcome. Ultimately, the events of 2020 showed that
instead of the country coming together to face national
challenges—the pandemic, George Floyd’s murder, and the Capitol
riot—these challenges only reinforced divisions. Expertly
chronicling the tensions of an election that came to an explosive
finish, The Bitter End presents a detailed account of a year of
crises and the dangerous direction in which the country is headed.
What an intensely divisive election portends for American politics
The year 2020 was a tumultuous time in American politics. It
brought a global pandemic, protests for racial justice, and a
razor-thin presidential election outcome. It culminated in an
attack on the U.S. Capitol that attempted to deny Joe Biden's
victory. The Bitter End explores the long-term trends and
short-term shocks that shaped this dramatic year and what these
changes could mean for the future. John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch,
and Lynn Vavreck demonstrate that Trump's presidency intensified
the partisan politics of the previous decades and the identity
politics of the 2016 election. Presidential elections have become
calcified, with less chance of big swings in either party's favor.
Republicans remained loyal to Trump and kept the election close,
despite Trump's many scandals, a recession, and the pandemic. But
in a narrowly divided electorate even small changes can have big
consequences. The pandemic was a case in point: when Trump pushed
to reopen the country even as infections mounted, support for Biden
increased. The authors explain that, paradoxically, even as Biden's
win came at a time of heightened party loyalty, there remained room
for shifts that shaped the election's outcome. Ultimately, the
events of 2020 showed that instead of the country coming together
to face national challenges-the pandemic, George Floyd's murder,
and the Capitol riot-these challenges only reinforced divisions.
Expertly chronicling the tensions of an election that came to an
explosive finish, The Bitter End presents a detailed account of a
year of crises and the dangerous direction in which the country is
headed.
A gripping in-depth account of the 2016 presidential election that
explains Donald Trump's historic victory Donald Trump's election
victory stunned the world. How did he pull it off? Was it his
appeal to alienated voters in the battleground states? Was it
Hillary Clinton and the scandals associated with her long career in
politics? Were key factors already in place before the nominees
were even chosen? Identity Crisis provides a gripping account of
the campaign that appeared to break all the political rules--but in
fact didn't. Identity Crisis takes readers from the bruising
primaries to an election night whose outcome defied the predictions
of the pollsters and pundits. The book shows how fundamental
characteristics of the nation and its politics--the state of the
economy, the Obama presidency, and the demographics of the
political parties--combined with the candidates' personalities and
rhetoric to produce one of the most unexpected presidencies in
history. Early on, the fundamental characteristics predicted an
extremely close election. And even though Trump's many
controversies helped Clinton maintain a comfortable lead for most
of the campaign, the prediction of a close election became reality
when Americans cast their votes. Identity Crisis reveals how
Trump's victory was foreshadowed by changes in the Democratic and
Republican coalitions that were driven by people's racial and
ethnic identities. The campaign then reinforced and exacerbated
those cleavages as it focused on issues related to race,
immigration, and religion. The result was an epic battle not just
for the White House but about what America is and should be.
"Game changer." We heard it so many times during the 2012 U.S.
presidential election. But what actually made a difference in the
contest--and what was just hype? In this groundbreaking book, John
Sides and Lynn Vavreck tell the dramatic story of the
election--with a big difference. Using an unusual "moneyball"
approach and drawing on extensive quantitative data, they look
beyond the anecdote, folklore, and conventional wisdom that often
pass for election analysis to separate what was truly important
from what was irrelevant. The Gamble combines this data with the
best social science research and colorful on-the-ground reporting,
providing the most accurate and precise account of the election yet
written--and the only book of its kind. In a new preface, the
authors reflect on the place of The Gamble in the tradition of
presidential election studies, its reception to date, and possible
paths for future social science research.
Political Polarization in American Politics provides short,
accessible chapters about the nature and extent of political
polarization within the American public and in American political
institutions. These chapters capture the central ideas and debates
in political science research on polarization, and are written by
leading scholars in this subfield. Each chapter is accompanied by
discussion questions and a guide to further reading, making this a
great addition to any course looking at issues of polarization.
The leading book in the market now updated through the 2012
elections makes a contemporary approach to campaigns and elections
accessible and engaging. Based on the authors own courses,
Campaigns & Elections uses a clear, consistent framework to
help students understand the strategies and choices involved in
American campaigns and elections. With coverage of elections at the
presidential, congressional, state, and local levels, the book s
analysis balances the perspectives of political scientists and
campaign practitioners."
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