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"Preventing Catastrophe" is written by two authors who are
experienced "Washington hands" and who understand the interplay
between intelligence and policymaking. Both have been personally
involved, in the United States and overseas, in pursuing national
and international measures to stop the proliferation of weapons of
mass destruction. Their extensive experience is evident in this
book, which puts the Iraqi WMD issue in proper perspective,
explains the challenge of monitoring small clandestine programs,
and explains how the effort to prevent terrorist acquisition and
use of WMD differs from preventing their acquisition and use by
nation states. At the same time, the authors are able to make a
complex subject understandable to non-technical experts, making
this book a useful teaching tool, especially for those who have
little or no knowledge or experience in US national security
decision making.
"National intelligence and international inspections are necessary
to create confidence that violations of non-proliferation
commitments are detected in time to permit appropriate action. Both
must be pursued with professionalism and critical minds avoiding
poor intelligence or cosmetic inspections. The issues studied
thoroughly and with good judgment in this welcome volume by Graham
and Hansen were intensely controversial in the case of Iraq but
remain central to international counter-proliferation
efforts."--Hans Blix, Executive Chairman of the Weapons of Mass
Destruction Commission
Since the mid-1950s, the international community has sought to ban
all nuclear testing. In 1996, the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban
Treaty emerged after three years of intense international
negotiations. However, after nearly a decade, there is no sign that
the treaty will ever enter into force. Despite the general support
for and adherence to a series of national moratoria on nuclear
explosive testing, it is important to understand why the effort to
achieve a permanent ban on nuclear testing has experienced such
difficulties and continues to travel such a problematic road. The
author of this book is neither a promoter nor a critic of the
Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty, but rather he provides a
brief historical and analytical understanding of the events
surrounding its negotiation and implementation. The author's
analysis, based on his personal involvement in the CTBT
negotiations, provides one insider's view of how the critical
events unfolded and how they are likely to affect future
nonproliferation initiatives.
Much has been said and written about the failure of U.S.
intelligence to prevent the terrorist attacks on September 11,
2001, and its overestimation of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction
under Saddam Hussein. This book focuses instead on the central role
that intelligence-collection systems play in promoting arms control
and disarmament. Ambassador Thomas Graham Jr. and Keith Hansen
bring more than fifty combined years of experience to this
discussion of the capabilities of technical systems, which are
primarily based in space. Their history of the rapid advancement of
surveillance technology is a window into a dramatic
reconceptualization of Cold War strategies and policy planning.
Graham and Hansen focus on the intelligence successes against
Soviet strategic nuclear forces and the quality of the intelligence
that has made possible accurate assessments of WMD programs in
North Korea, Iran, and Libya. Their important insights shed a
much-needed light on the process of verifying how the world
harnesses the proliferation of nuclear arms and the continual drive
for advancements in technology.
Much has been said and written about the failure of U.S.
intelligence to prevent the terrorist attacks on September 11,
2001, and its overestimation of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction
under Saddam Hussein. This book focuses instead on the central role
that intelligence-collection systems play in promoting arms control
and disarmament. Ambassador Thomas Graham Jr. and Keith Hansen
bring more than fifty combined years of experience to this
discussion of the capabilities of technical systems, which are
primarily based in space. Their history of the rapid advancement of
surveillance technology is a window into a dramatic
reconceptualization of Cold War strategies and policy planning.
Graham and Hansen focus on the intelligence successes against
Soviet strategic nuclear forces and the quality of the intelligence
that has made possible accurate assessments of WMD programs in
North Korea, Iran, and Libya. Their important insights shed a
much-needed light on the process of verifying how the world
harnesses the proliferation of nuclear arms and the continual drive
for advancements in technology.
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