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Helmut Schneider 1. The Formulation of the Research Programme 1. In
the late sixties the acceleration of US inflation revived the
discussion of the fifties about the superiority of flexible
exchange rates: The US balance of payments deteriorated since 1965,
the dollar shortage after World War II changed to a dollar surplus.
The import of US inflation by their main trading partners
intensified political pressures so that at the beginning of the
seventies most leading countries decided, contrary to the rules of
the Bretton Woods agreement, to stop their intervention in the
market for foreign exchange and to let the exchange rates be
determined by market forces. It is worthwhile recalling that at
that time one had only very limited experience with the regime of
flexible exchange rates: The most important case, the floating of
Canadian against the US dollar, could not be generalized to a world
where nearly all important countries adhered to the regime of
flexible exchange rates. ! - But one really had rich experience
with destabilizing capital flows (or "hot money") that forced
monetary authorities to adjust exchange rates in a system of
managed flexibility to the expecta tions of "speculators".
Past and future development as well as possibilities for
influencing the process of retirement are discussed, in particular
effects on the labour market (supply and demand, behaviour of
workers and firms, concerning human resource management and
occupational pensions), financing of social security and income of
workers. Decisions concerning earlier or postponed, full or partial
retirement are the main topic stressing the central role of firms'
decisions depending e.g. on their view of the productivity of the
elderly. Reports on Scandinavian countries (Sweden, Denmark,
Finland) in particular on their approach for partial retirement are
included as well as papers discussing possibilities to stop the
trend of early exit from the labour force and how to give
incentives for a longer working life (e.g. by changes in social
security). These topics are discussed in the view of structural
changes in demography, economy and society, using - among other -
the US and West Germany as examples. The papers point out the
necessity to look at retirement as a process (in a life cycle
perspective, requiring longitudinal data for empirical research)
and in a perspective integrating the different aspects involved.
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