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This Brief uses game-theoretic analysis to debunk the turnout
paradox and offers an alternative economic model to elucidate the
patterns behind the socioeconomic bias in turnout. The author
argues that the turnout paradox-the idea that rational, strategic
actors would not vote in an election-is an overstated problem, and
that, contrary to widespread belief, game-theoretic models of
elections with highly realistic parameters are compatible with high
turnout. The author applies the method of stability sets to the
study of voting games so as to characterize the behavior of
electoral turnout in response to the game's structural parameters.
To illustrate the power and potential of this framework, the author
then develops a politico-economic model that generates testable
theories about the way in which the modern welfare state and
redistribution of wealth can shape the patterns of biased turnout
that exist in most democracies. By turning a classic problem of
rational choice into a source of new methods of analysis this Brief
allows game theory to intervene in relevant conversations about the
political economy of electoral participation, creating an
opportunity for formal methods to make a welcome contribution to
the discipline. As such, this Brief will be of use to scholars and
student of political science, economics, political economy, and
public policy, especially those who work in the tradition of formal
methods.
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