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A Life-Long Springtime - The Life and Teaching of Fr George Congreve SSJE (Hardcover): Luke Miller A Life-Long Springtime - The Life and Teaching of Fr George Congreve SSJE (Hardcover)
Luke Miller
R616 Discovery Miles 6 160 Ships in 12 - 17 working days
Journey - A Solo Roleplaying Game and Worldbuilding Tool for Writers, Game Masters, and the Uncommonly Curious (Paperback):... Journey - A Solo Roleplaying Game and Worldbuilding Tool for Writers, Game Masters, and the Uncommonly Curious (Paperback)
Luke Miller
R723 Discovery Miles 7 230 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Development of a Bayesian Real Options Framework (Paperback): Luke Miller Development of a Bayesian Real Options Framework (Paperback)
Luke Miller
R1,684 Discovery Miles 16 840 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

This research investigates how the real options framework and Bayesian decision theory may be utilized to improve the capital budgeting decision process. In particular, it investigates the theoretical and modeling advantage of merging option pricing theory with the Bayesian revision process to value investment decisions defined by partial or full irreversibility of capital outlays, uncertainty, and the opportunity to gather information. Benchmarking from existing real options and Bayesian approaches, new modeling methodologies are developed that value delay investment scenarios in the context of information acquisition and inclusion in the decision process. In this context, real option attributes are discussed from a statistical decision theoretic perspective, thresholds are identified for improved decision-making, information's impact on downstream decision-making is formally defined, and project activation policies are developed. Using real data provided by firms in the aerospace maintenance, repair, and overhaul industry, this Bayesian Learning Real Options (BLRO) methodology is demonstrated within contingent investment and license valuation scenarios.

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