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This book presents an overview of the risks involved in modern electricity production, delivery and trading, including technical risk in production, transportation and delivery, operational risk for the system operators, market risks for traders, and political and other long term risks in strategic management.Using decision making under uncertainty as a methodological background, the book is divided into four parts, with Part I focusing on energy markets, particularly electricity markets.Topics include a nontechnical overview of energy markets and their main properties, basic price models for energy commodity prices, and modeling approaches for electricity price processes. Part II looks at optimal decisions in managing energy systems, including hydropower dispatch models, cutting plane algorithms and approximative dynamic programming; hydro-thermal production; renewable; stochastic investments and operational optimization models for natural gas transport; decision making in operating electricity networks; and investment in extending energy production systems. Part III explores pricing, including electricity swing options and the pricing of derivatives with volume control. Part IV looks at long-term and political risks, including energy systems under aspects of climate change, and catastrophic operational risks, particularly risks from terrorist attacks."
This book presents an overview of the risks involved in modern electricity production, delivery and trading, including technical risk in production, transportation and delivery, operational risk for the system operators, market risks for traders, and political and other long term risks in strategic management. Using decision making under uncertainty as a methodological background, the book is divided into four parts, with Part I focusing on energy markets, particularly electricity markets. Topics include a nontechnical overview of energy markets and their main properties, basic price models for energy commodity prices, and modeling approaches for electricity price processes. Part II looks at optimal decisions in managing energy systems, including hydropower dispatch models, cutting plane algorithms and approximative dynamic programming; hydro-thermal production; renewable; stochastic investments and operational optimization models for natural gas transport; decision making in operating electricity networks; and investment in extending energy production systems. Part III explores pricing, including electricity swing options and the pricing of derivatives with volume control. Part IV looks at long-term and political risks, including energy systems under aspects of climate change, and catastrophic operational risks, particularly risks from terrorist attacks.
La proposta nasce dalla constatazione dell'importanza dell'approccio quantitativo a problemi di rilevanza quotidiana in molte realta industriali. L'opera, oltre a proporre modelli di riferimento, vuole promuovere la comprensione degli stessi e degli approcci formali ad essi collegati attraverso costanti riferimenti a reali pratiche di pianificazione e gestione. Il panorama editoriale italiano non sembra offrire nell'ambito del business management un'opera avente questo stesso indirizzo. L'esperienza acquisita dagli autori nei rapporti professionali con diverse realta industriali e alla base della qualita complessiva dell'opera. Gli obiettivi principali sono: presentare modelli di ottimizzazione tratti o ispirati da casi di studio concreti nell'ambito industriale, manifatturiero e logistico; illustrare alcuni dei principali approcci di modellazione matematica ai problemi di rilevanza industriale; costituire materiale didattico integrativo per corsi a livello universitario ed avanzato.
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