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The Arabian Gulf is of critical importance to the United States and
our European and Asian allies. The region contains two-thirds of
the world's known oil reserves, and the waterway itself is the key
sea line of communication to this resource. As the world's only
remaining superpower, the U.S. maintains a close watch on the Gulf
and threats to its access. Following Iraq's defeat during DESERT
STORM, the U.S. has refocused much of its attention on Iran and its
growing military sea-denial capabilities. In light of the
importance we place on the waterway, U.S. decision-makers must
understand the extent of the Iranian threat to the free flow of
commerce through the Gulf, and how best to counter it. Our thesis
asserts that given the current geopolitical situation, the Iranian
threat to the waterway is overstated; however, Gulf Cooperation
Council members can and should take the lead in countering any
attempt to deny its free access, and in the long term, the U.S. can
join them and our other allies to help reduce Iranian incentives to
threaten the Gulf.
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