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In order to obtain many of the classical results in the theory of
statistical estimation, it is usual to impose regularity conditions
on the distributions under consideration. In small sample and large
sample theories of estimation there are well established sets of
regularity conditions, and it is worth while to examine what may
follow if any one of these regularity conditions fail to hold.
"Non-regular estimation" literally means the theory of statistical
estimation when some or other of the regularity conditions fail to
hold. In this monograph, the authors present a systematic study of
the meaning and implications of regularity conditions, and show how
the relaxation of such conditions can often lead to surprising
conclusions. Their emphasis is on considering small sample results
and to show how pathological examples may be considered in this
broader framework.
This monograph is a collection of results recently obtained by the
authors. Most of these have been published, while others are
awaitlng publication. Our investigation has two main purposes.
Firstly, we discuss higher order asymptotic efficiency of
estimators in regular situa tions. In these situations it is known
that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is asymptotically
efficient in some (not always specified) sense. However, there
exists here a whole class of asymptotically efficient estimators
which are thus asymptotically equivalent to the MLE. It is required
to make finer distinctions among the estimators, by considering
higher order terms in the expansions of their asymptotic
distributions. Secondly, we discuss asymptotically efficient
estimators in non regular situations. These are situations where
the MLE or other estimators are not asymptotically normally
distributed, or where l 2 their order of convergence (or
consistency) is not n /, as in the regular cases. It is necessary
to redefine the concept of asympto tic efficiency, together with
the concept of the maximum order of consistency. Under the new
definition as asymptotically efficient estimator may not always
exist. We have not attempted to tell the whole story in a
systematic way. The field of asymptotic theory in statistical
estimation is relatively uncultivated. So, we have tried to focus
attention on such aspects of our recent results which throw light
on the area."
This book presents new findings on nonregular statistical
estimation. Unlike other books on this topic, its major emphasis is
on helping readers understand the meaning and implications of both
regularity and irregularity through a certain family of
distributions. In particular, it focuses on a truncated exponential
family of distributions with a natural parameter and truncation
parameter as a typical nonregular family. This focus includes the
(truncated) Pareto distribution, which is widely used in various
fields such as finance, physics, hydrology, geology, astronomy, and
other disciplines. The family is essential in that it links both
regular and nonregular distributions, as it becomes a regular
exponential family if the truncation parameter is known. The
emphasis is on presenting new results on the maximum likelihood
estimation of a natural parameter or truncation parameter if one of
them is a nuisance parameter. In order to obtain more information
on the truncation, the Bayesian approach is also considered.
Further, the application to some useful truncated distributions is
discussed. The illustrated clarification of the nonregular
structure provides researchers and practitioners with a solid basis
for further research and applications.
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