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Building effective state institutions before introducing democracy
is widely presumed to improve different development outcomes.
Conversely, proponents of this "stateness-first" argument
anticipate that democratization before state building yields poor
development outcomes. In this Element, we discuss several strong
assumptions that (different versions of) this argument rests upon
and critically evaluate the existing evidence base. In extension,
we specify various observable implications. We then subject the
stateness-first argument to multiple tests, focusing on economic
growth as an outcome. First, we conduct historical case studies of
two countries with different institutional sequencing histories,
Denmark and Greece, and assess the stateness-first argument (e.g.,
by using a synthetic control approach). Thereafter, we draw on an
extensive global sample of about 180 countries, measured across
1789-2019 and leverage panel regressions, preparametric matching,
and sequence analysis to test a number of observable implications.
Overall, we find little evidence to support the stateness-first
argument.
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