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Nuclear proliferation in the Middle East remains an issue of
concern. Saudi Arabia's actions will largely rest on Iran's
decisions, and discussions and preparations within Saudi Arabia
would suggest that it is ready to react to potential shifts in the
region's nuclear powers. Saudi Arabia and Nuclear Weapons uses an
"inside out" approach that emphasises the Saudis' own national
interests in relation to the nuclear threat, and their
understanding of the role of nuclear weapons in defense, foreign
policy and the concept of deterrence. It is the first study with
comprehensive use of the local Arabic language military and
civilian media to provide this understanding of official thinking
and policy. The Saudi case study is contextualised against the
prevailing proliferation models, to conclude that the Saudi case
shares both commonalities and elements of uniqueness with other
proliferation cases, implying the need for a 'multi-causal'
approach. Its comparative analysis also suggests potential
implications applicable more broadly to the issue of nuclear
proliferation. A comprehensive study of Saudi Arabia's attitude to
nuclear weapons, this book offers an exploration of nuclear
proliferation that would interest students, scholars and
policymakers working in Middle East studies, as well as Military
and nuclear proliferation studies.
Nuclear proliferation in the Middle East remains an issue of
concern. Saudi Arabia's actions will largely rest on Iran's
decisions, and discussions and preparations within Saudi Arabia
would suggest that it is ready to react to potential shifts in the
region's nuclear powers. Saudi Arabia and Nuclear Weapons uses an
"inside out" approach that emphasises the Saudis' own national
interests in relation to the nuclear threat, and their
understanding of the role of nuclear weapons in defense, foreign
policy and the concept of deterrence. It is the first study with
comprehensive use of the local Arabic language military and
civilian media to provide this understanding of official thinking
and policy. The Saudi case study is contextualised against the
prevailing proliferation models, to conclude that the Saudi case
shares both commonalities and elements of uniqueness with other
proliferation cases, implying the need for a 'multi-causal'
approach. Its comparative analysis also suggests potential
implications applicable more broadly to the issue of nuclear
proliferation. A comprehensive study of Saudi Arabia's attitude to
nuclear weapons, this book offers an exploration of nuclear
proliferation that would interest students, scholars and
policymakers working in Middle East studies, as well as Military
and nuclear proliferation studies.
The phenomenon of Iraq's Shia warlords and the militias they lead
has significant implications for the conduct of the war against
Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS), including for U.S. policy
interests and for U.S. Landpower forces deployed in-country. In
this monograph, Dr. Norman Cigar analyzes the rapid resurgence of
the Shia militias and the warlords thanks to a mass popular
mobilization in response to the severe ISIS threat to the country
in 2014. The militias have played a key role in helping to
stabilize the situation on the ground, while the Iraqi Army has
been rebuilding with the help of the international Coalition. At
the same time, the warlords have become significant political
players who have an impact on issues of interest to the United
States, such as sectarian reconciliation and the formation of a
National Guard in Sunni areas, which have implications for the
future of Iraq's security and stability.
Most of the local societies in which Al-Qaida and its affiliates
and offshoots operate in the Middle East and Africa have a
predominantly tribal or at least have a strong tribal component
(Iraq, Yemen, Libya, Syria, Somalia, Mali, and Sinai). Countering
Al-Qaida's continuing presence, therefore, requires addressing the
tribal milieu and understanding Al-Qaida's critical vulnerabilities
when it operates in tribal societies. In this context, the
capability that tribally-based militias provide may be one of the
most effective tools against Al-Qaida, and may offer a
cost-effective mechanism serving as a force multiplier for U.S.
forces. It could reduce the need for U.S. force commitment on the
ground in environments that might offer unfavorable conditions for
a U.S. Landpower footprint.
Dealing with tribal systems has posed a continuing challenge to
Al-Qaida as it operates in the Middle East and Africa, where a
tribal environment is still an integral part of society in many of
the countries. How Al-Qaida views and manages the tribal system
within its individual areas of operation in many cases can mean the
difference between success and failure, and the jihadist movement
cannot ignore this issue, which has been a major factor affecting
its prospects, especially in Iraq. This study examines Al-Qaida's
experience dealing with the tribes in Iraq in terms of a triangular
relationship involving the Sunni tribes, Al-Qaida, and the
government (or the United States as the governing authority in the
initial stages), with latter two entities often competing for the
allegiance of the tribes.
Since the September 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and the
Pentagon, the United States has been at war with Al-Qaida. Over the
past 10 years, counterterrorism efforts have disrupted its main
training facilities and eliminated much of the core leadership
structure, including the mastermind Usama Bin Ladin. Despite this,
Al-Qaida has proved resilient. While the core leadership has been
compromised, regional Al-Qaida offshoots and affiliated Islamist
terrorist groups have formed, developed, and become prominent in
their own right. To aid in examining and explaining Al-Qaida's
trajectory, the Minerva Initiative at Marine Corps University
hosted a conference in the spring of 2011, just days before Bin
Ladin's demise. The panels at this conference addressed diverse
issues such as Al-Qaida's overarching strategy; the degree of
control that central Al-Qaida leadership maintains over regional
franchises; and the strategies, tactics, successes, and failures in
each theater of operation. The resulting papers in Al-Qaida after
Ten Years of War contribute to the ongoing and ever-evolving net
assessment of Al-Qaida and its future prospects, and they help
inform the crafting of a war termination phase with Al-Qaida.
Since the September 2001 attacks on the World Trade Center and the
Pentagon, the United States has been at war with Al-Qaida. Over the
past 10 years, counterterrorism efforts have disrupted its main
training facilities and eliminated much of the core leadership
structure, including the mastermind Usama Bin Ladin. Despite this,
Al-Qaida has proved resilient. While the core leadership has been
compromised, regional Al-Qaida offshoots and affiliated Islamist
terrorist groups have formed, developed, and become prominent in
their own right. To aid in examining and explaining Al-Qaida's
trajectory, the Minerva Initiative at Marine Corps University
hosted a conference in the spring of 2011, just days before Bin
Ladin's demise. The panels at this conference addressed diverse
issues such as Al-Qaida's overarching strategy; the degree of
control that central Al-Qaida leadership maintains over regional
franchises; and the strategies, tactics, successes, and failures in
each theater of operation. The resulting papers in Al-Qaida after
Ten Years of War contribute to the ongoing and ever-evolving net
assessment of Al-Qaida and its future prospects, and they help
inform the crafting of a war termination phase with Al-Qaida.
This study examines why Saddam Hussein pursued nuclear weapons and,
as a basic aspect of that question, how he might have employed that
capability had he acquired it, whether for deterrence, warfighting,
or something else. As the key decision maker in Iraq, Saddam's own
thinking was central. His perception of regional threats, primarily
from Iran and Israel, were a prime motivator. In addition, Saddam
viewed acquiring nuclear weapons as a potent vehicle to help
legitimize his regime and burnish his personal image as leader both
at home and in the Arab World, as a modernizer and defender of
national interests. A better understanding of the Iraqi case can
also clarify the enduring issues related to how regional leaders
may view nuclear weapons in this world of looming proliferation.
Iraqis are debating the desirability of atomic power for their
country. One can expect increasing Iraqi calls for a revival of the
country's nuclear capability, at least in the civilian sector,
which reflects a general consensus within key sectors of Iraqi
public opinion as well as a growing regional trend. The Iraqi
government will continue to reestablish its legitimacy by its
support of a nuclear program as a litmus test for modernity and
success, and has asked France to rebuild its former reactor,
although significant practical obstacles will hamper rapid
development in the nuclear field. Despite a continuing widespread
perception of the utility of nuclear weapons, at least in some
sectors of Iraqi opinion, a near-term resumption of a military
nuclear program is not likely, although volatile conditions in the
region and within Iraq itself could change that option at some time
in the future. U.S. and international policymakers will have to
consider Iraqi views as they shape...
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Al-Qaida After Ten Years of War - A Global Perspective of Successes, Failures, and Prospects: A Global Perspective of Successes, Failures, and Prospect (Paperback, None, First ed.)
Norman Cigar, Stephanie E. Kramer, Defense Dept, Navy Dept (U S ), Marine Corps University Press (U S )
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R920
Discovery Miles 9 200
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Out of stock
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One key factor that emerged from the various presentations was the
sheer variety of issues, leaderships, local security environments,
and prospects for the local gorups that are affiliated with
Al-Qaida in some way. Other key judgments are also revealed
including that Al-Qaida continues to harbor implacable hostility
toward the international system, the United States, Israel, and
many local governments.
Each presentation by the various contributors are represented as
separate essays within this text.
Regional and territorial maps are interspersed throughout the book
to showcase key areas to the group. Some may find interest in the
metrics set by Al-Qaida as well as the Goods and Services Exchanged
Between Al-Qaida and its partners that are showcased through charts
and tables.
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