This is a collection of articles written by mathematicians and physicists, designed to describe the state of the art in climate models with stochastic input. Mathematicians will benefit from a survey of simple models, while physicists will encounter mathematically relevant techniques at work.

This book has two-fold aims. In a first part it gives an introductory, thorough and essentially self-contained treatment of the general theory of two-parameter processes that has developed since around 1975. Apart from two survey papers by Merzbach and Meyer it is the first text of this kind. The second part presents the results of recent research by the author on martingale theory and stochastic calculus for two-parameter processes. Both the results and the methods of these two chapters are almost entirely new, and are of particular interest. They provide the fundamentals of a general stochastic analysis of two-parameter processes including, in particular, so far inaccessible jump phenomena. The typical rader is assumed to have some basic knowledge of the general theory of one-parameter martingales. The book should be accessible to probabilistically interested mathematicians who a) wish to become acquainted with or have a complete treatment of the main features of the general theory of two-parameter processes and basics of their stochastic calculus, b) intend to learn about the most recent developments in this area.

This work considers a small random perturbation of alpha-stable jump type nonlinear reaction-diffusion equations with Dirichlet boundary conditions over an interval. It has two stable points whose domains of attraction meet in a separating manifold with several saddle points. Extending a method developed by Imkeller and Pavlyukevich it proves that in contrast to a Gaussian perturbation, the expected exit and transition times between the domains of attraction depend polynomially on the noise intensity in the small intensity limit. Moreover the solution exhibits metastable behavior: there is a polynomial time scale along which the solution dynamics correspond asymptotically to the dynamic behavior of a finite-state Markov chain switching between the stable states.

A collection of articles written by mathematicians and physicists, designed to describe the state of the art in climate models with stochastic input. Mathematicians will benefit from a survey of simple models, while physicists will encounter mathematically relevant techniques at work.