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Drawing together leading observational astronomers, atmospheric
researchers and public policy analysts, including Edward Teller,
David Morrison, and Eugene Shoemaker, the discussions in this
volume provide a detailed look at the probability and implications
of an impact of an asteroid or comet with the Earth. The chapters
are based on discussions held at the Erice International Seminar on
Planetary Emergencies in 1993, which reached the following
conclusions: cosmic impacts have already played a significant role
in the evolution of the Earth itself and of life on the Earth;
while the threat of such a large impact is minuscule in any one
year, the consequences are so grave that one should continue to
study the threat; a small impact is considerably more probable and
carries the additional threat of being mistaken for a nuclear
explosion at a time of international tension, with dire
consequences; and that it is necessary to gather data on objects
near the Earth, or in orbits that may bring them near Earth and to
publish these data openly and internationally.
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