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Estimating Device Reliability: Assessment of Credibility is
concerned with the plausibility of reliability estimates obtained
from statistical models. Statistical predictions are necessary
because technology is always pushing into unexplored areas faster
than devices can be made long-lived by design. Flawed reliability
methodologies can produce disastrous results, an outstanding
example of which is the catastrophic failure of the manned space
shuttle CHALLENGER in January 1986. This issue is not whether, but
which, statistical models should be used. The issue is not making
reliability estimates, but is instead their credibility. The
credibility questions explored in the context of practical
applications include: What does the confidence level associated
with the use of statistical model mean? Is the numerical result
associated with a high confidence level beyond dispute? When is it
appropriate to use the exponential (constant hazard rate) model?
Does this model always provide the most conservative reliability
estimate? Are the results of traditional random' failure hazard
rate calculations tenable? Are there persuasive alternatives? What
model should be used to describe the useful life of a device when
wearout is absent? When Weibull and lognormal failure plots
containing a large number of failure times appear similar, how
should the correct wearout model be selected? Is it important to
distinguish between a conservative upper bound on a probability of
failure and a realistic estimate of the same probability?
Estimating Device Reliability: Assessment of Credibility is for
those who are obliged to make reliability calculations with a
paucity of somewhat corrupt data, by using inexactmodels, and by
making physical assumptions which are impractical to verify.
Illustrative examples deal with a variety of electronic devices,
ICs and lasers.
The adventures of life as seen through the eyes of Lila and Lester
whom I have given the age of four years old. Big Sis is ten years
old.
Essays by Herman Beavers, Gena Chandler, Marc C. Conner, William
Gleason, William R. Nash, Linda Selzer, Gary Storhoff, and John
Whalen-Bridge
In "Charles Johnson: The Novelist as Philosopher," leading
scholars examine the African American author's literary corpus and
major themes, ideas, and influences. The essays explore virtually
all of Johnson's writings: each of his novels, his numerous short
stories, the range of his nonfiction essays, his many book reviews,
and even several unpublished works.
These essays engage Johnson's work from a variety of critical
perspectives, revealing the philosophical, cultural, and political
implications of his writings. The authors seek especially to
understand "philosophical black fiction" and to provide the
multifocal, "whole sight" analysis Johnson's work demands.
Johnson (b. 1948)--author of "Dreamer," "Oxherding Tale," and
the National Book Award-winning "Middle Passage"--draws upon
influences as diverse as Richard Wright, Herman Melville, Thomas
Aquinas, Franz Kafka, W. E. B. Du Bois, and Ralph Waldo Emerson. He
combines rigorous training in western philosophy with a lifelong
practice in eastern religious and philosophical traditions. He has
repeatedly told interviewers that he became a writer specifically
to strengthen the interplay between philosophy and fiction.
Marc C. Conner is associate professor of English at Washington
and Lee University. William R. Nash is associate professor of
American studies and director of African American studies at
Middlebury College.
The Oxford Handbook of Hypnosis is the long overdue successor to
Fromm and Nash's Contemporary Hypnosis Research (Guilford Press),
which has been regarded as the field's authoritative scholarly
reference for over 35 years. This new book is a comprehensive
summary of where field has been, where it stands today, and its
future directions. The volume's lucid and engaging chapters on the
scientific background to the field, fully live up to this
uncompromising scholarly legacy. In addition, the scope of the book
includes 17 clinical chapters which comprehensively describe how
hypnosis is best used with patients across a spectrum of disorders
and applied settings. Authored by the world's leading practitioners
these contributions are sophisticated, inspiring, and richly
illustrated with case examples and session transcripts. For
postgraduate students, researchers and clinicians, or anyone
wanting to understand hypnosis as a form of treatment, this is the
starting point. Unequalled in its breadth and quality, The Oxford
Handbook of Hypnosis is the definitive reference text in the field.
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