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This CSIS report examines the evolution of European military
capabilities over the next decade. It asks two main questions. What
military capabilities might European allies and partners of the
United States possess by 2030? And what types of military missions
will these states be able (and unable) to effectively perform by
2030? First, European militaries-including the largest and most
capable European NATO members-will continue to struggle to conduct
several types of missions without significant U.S. assistance.
Second, European militaries will face significant challenges in the
Indo-Pacific. Third, Europe's major powers will likely have the
capability to conduct most types of missions at the lower end of
the conflict continuum without significant U.S. military aid. To
sustain progress and overcome remaining challenges, NATO will have
to revise its burden-sharing metrics, modernize defense planning
and procurement practices, and address lagging political will.
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