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Labor omnia vincit improbus. VIRGIL, Georgica I, 144-145. In the
first part of his Theoria combinationis observationum erroribus
min- imis obnoxiae, published in 1821, Carl Friedrich Gauss [Gau80,
p.10] deduces a Chebyshev-type inequality for a probability density
function, when it only has the property that its value always
decreases, or at least does l not increase, if the absolute value
of x increases . One may therefore conjecture that Gauss is one of
the first scientists to use the property of 'single-humpedness' of
a probability density function in a meaningful probabilistic
context. More than seventy years later, zoologist W.F.R. Weldon was
faced with 'double- humpedness'. Indeed, discussing peculiarities
of a population of Naples crabs, possi- bly connected to natural
selection, he writes to Karl Pearson (E.S. Pearson [Pea78, p.328]):
Out of the mouths of babes and sucklings hath He perfected praise!
In the last few evenings I have wrestled with a double humped
curve, and have overthrown it. Enclosed is the diagram...If you
scoff at this, I shall never forgive you. Not only did Pearson not
scoff at this bimodal probability density function, he examined it
and succeeded in decomposing it into two 'single-humped curves' in
his first statistical memoir (Pearson [Pea94]).
The aim of" the present monograph is two-fold: (a) to give a short
account of the main results concerning the theory of random systems
with complete connections, and (b) to describe the general learning
model by means of random systems with complete connections. The
notion of chain with complete connections has been introduced in
probability theory by ONICESCU and MIHOC (1935a). These authors
have set themselves the aim to define a very broad type of
dependence which takes into account the whole history of the
evolution and thus includes as a special case the Markovian one. In
a sequel of papers of the period 1935-1937, ONICESCU and MIHOC
developed the theory of these chains for the homogeneous case with
a finite set of states from differ ent points of view: ergodic
behaviour, associated chain, limit laws. These results led to a
chapter devoted to these chains, inserted by ONI CESCU and MIHOC in
their monograph published in 1937. Important contributions to the
theory of chains with complete connections are due to DOEBLIN and
FORTET and refer to the period 1937-1940. They consist in the
approach of chains with an infinite history (the so-called chains
of infinite order) and in the use of methods from functional
analysis."
Labor omnia vincit improbus. VIRGIL, Georgica I, 144-145. In the
first part of his Theoria combinationis observationum erroribus
min- imis obnoxiae, published in 1821, Carl Friedrich Gauss [Gau80,
p.10] deduces a Chebyshev-type inequality for a probability density
function, when it only has the property that its value always
decreases, or at least does l not increase, if the absolute value
of x increases . One may therefore conjecture that Gauss is one of
the first scientists to use the property of 'single-humpedness' of
a probability density function in a meaningful probabilistic
context. More than seventy years later, zoologist W.F.R. Weldon was
faced with 'double- humpedness'. Indeed, discussing peculiarities
of a population of Naples crabs, possi- bly connected to natural
selection, he writes to Karl Pearson (E.S. Pearson [Pea78, p.328]):
Out of the mouths of babes and sucklings hath He perfected praise!
In the last few evenings I have wrestled with a double humped
curve, and have overthrown it. Enclosed is the diagram...If you
scoff at this, I shall never forgive you. Not only did Pearson not
scoff at this bimodal probability density function, he examined it
and succeeded in decomposing it into two 'single-humped curves' in
his first statistical memoir (Pearson [Pea94]).
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