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" Turbulent Waters: Cross-Border Finance and International
Governance advocates faster progress in reforming the international
financial system. Its most important theme is the need for national
governments and international organizations to upgrade their
collective efforts at crisis prevention and prosperity management.
The core of such efforts is the supranational surveillance of
cross-border ""traffic regulations"" and the cooperative monitoring
of nations' macroeconomic, exchange rate, and balance-of-payments
policies. Concurrently, governments should streamline and
strengthen the intermediation of intergovernmental lending for the
liability financing of payments deficits through the International
Monetary Fund. This essay gives detailed analysis supporting these
conclusions and provides more technical discussion of the
incremental policy measures needed to strengthen these collective
efforts. "
Today's world is organized politically into nation states with
sovereign national governments. But as Ralph C. Bryant explains in
Turbulent Waters, the world's economic structure is outgrowing its
political structure. The economic links among nations have
increased more rapidly than economic activity itself. As economic
integration has proceeded, borders have become more porous,
differences among national economies have eroded, and the policy
autonomy of national governments has been undermined.
Collective-governance problems increasingly spill across national
borders and thus grow in importance relative to problems of
domestic governance. The evolving need for international
cooperation and cross-border collective governance is likely to be
the single most prominent feature of world politics and economics
for at least the next half century. The progressive integration of
the world economy, often called " globalization, " has been
especially dramatic for financial activity. Cross-border financial
transactions facilitate saving and investment and thereby advance
the well-being of individuals. But they can also generate
turbulence and instability. Most individuals are unsure whether
financial globalization promotes or threatens prosperity for a
majority of the world's people. Bryant explains basic concepts
about financial activity and collective governance, distills their
international dimensions, and enables general readers to acquire a
solid grasp of the key policy issues that national governments must
resolve. He provides fresh insights about what is often termed the
international financial architecture. But he also casts his net far
wider: the book's ambitious goal is no lessthan to outline a
pragmatically sound vision for the evolution of international
governance for the world economy and financial system.
The world's governing structures are higgledy-piggledy: disorderly,
heads and tails in any or every direction. Such disorder fosters
deficient governance. Decisions by noncooperating nations can
generate damaging crossborder outcomes. Muddles destabilize mutual
well-being.Public debate is often mired in superficial arguments
about "globalization." This insightful book by economist Ralph C.
Bryant instead emphasizes that the world's nations need to craft
better middle-ground compromises to improve governance and manage
increasing integration. Individual nations, Bryant argues, should
fashion a balance between local autonomy and external openness,
avoiding the extremes of rigid localism and unfettered openness.
And nations need to act together collectively. Cooperative
governance can encourage orderliness that mitigates disarray
undermining mutual goals. The global challenge of the coronavirus
pandemic is a vivid reminderthat international cooperation is
becoming progressively more essential. Do nations and their leaders
have sufficient foresight to use borders not as barriers but as
catalysts for international cooperation? Could national migration
policies find sustainable middle ground between the unrealistic
extreme of unfettered freedom for people to cross borders and the
inhumane exclusion of foreign refugees? Could augmented
cross-border cooperation mitigate dangers from recurring financial
instability? Could the world community foster collective actions to
reduce the severe risks of global climate change? The answer to
such questions can and should be yes. Wiser cross-border collective
action nurtures a mutually supportive order offsetting the threats
of disorder that may otherwise prevail. A healthy evolution of our
planet requires requires! more orderly national governance and more
ambitious cross-border cooperation.
As cross-border transactions and economic integration among nations
have increased, formerly neglected differences among the domestic
economic policies of nations have become progressively exposed to
international scrutiny. National governments trying to pursue
autonomous polices have found their decisions more difficult and
the consequences of their decisions more uncertain. These trends
have in turn provoked debate about whether governments should
cooperate more fully when making their policy decisions. In this
book, part of the Integrating National Economies series, Ralph A.
Bryant considers how much national governments might benefit from
coordination of their macroeconomic stabilization polices, the
circumstances in which they might cooperation; and how ambitious
that cooperation should be. Bryant argues that the potential
benefits of attempted coordination are often greater than the
potential risks. When national decisionmakers take into account the
cross-border spillovers of their actions, and especially if the are
prepared to consider mutually beneficial adjustments of their
policy instruments, each cooperating nation may be able to attain
higher levels of welfare. Bryant discusses circumstances in which
efforts to coordinate could prove counterproductive. On the whole,
however, he contends that efforts to coordinate policies
internationally typically deserve examination and, frequently, can
be expected to advance the common interests of nations' citizens.
Bryant identifies and analyzes different forms of intergovernmental
cooperation for monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policies. One
of the contributors of the book compares and evaluates three
different analyticalperspectives: the traditional
policy-optimization approach favored by economists, the rule
analysis of international regime environments, and the
institutional analysis developed by scholars of international
relations and political science. The book concludes with an
overview of historical experience and practical recommendations for
the medium-run and long-run evolution of international
macroeconomic cooperation.
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