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"Financial crises in emerging economies are very different today
than they were in the past. Between 1940 and the 1970s, such
traumas involved large fiscal deficits, repressed domestic
financial systems, and balance of payments situations that were
associated with a sharp worsening of terms of trade. In recent
years, however, a ""new variety"" of crisis has evolved in Asia and
Latin America. Many of the emerging economies that have experienced
financial trauma have been considered very successful until the
crises explode. This collection focuses on such economies. The five
contributors provide policy-oriented analysis that seeks to
identify crucial variables that affect the probability or intensity
of crisis. Jose Antonio Ocampo (ECLAC) and Ricardo Ffrench-Davis
explore the variables that play a part in determining whether a
financial crisis is likely to occur. They analyze ""vulnerability
zones"" for certain key variables-such as net liquid external
liabilities, current-account deficits, and real exchange rates-and
examine how and why capital surges have contributed to worsen
marcoeconomic fundamentals in emerging economies. Manuel Agosin
(University of Chile) draws a parallel between Korea and Taiwan,
showing how the two countries had similar histories between the
mid-1960s and the early 1990s, then followed different paths during
the 1990s. Ricardo Ffrench-Davis (ECLAC) concentrates on Chile's
experience with three ""positive"" financial shocks: in the 1970s,
in 1991-94, and in 1995-97. Jaime Ros (Notre Dame University)
explores contrasting situations in Mexico in 1991-94 and 1996-97,
and discusses the variables that explain the marked differences
between the two episodes. Ricardo Ffrench-Davis is principal
regional adviser at ECLAC and co-founder of the Center for Economic
Research on Latin America (CIEPLAN). He is the author or editor of
fifteen books on international economics, development, strategies,
foreign financial, and Latin American economies, including
Reforming the Reforms: Macro, Trade, Finance (Palgrave/Macmillan,
1999). "
"Provides a comprehensive analysis of why reforms in Latin America
have failed in achieving growth and equity. The book focuses on
three strategic areas of reforms of the Washington Consensus:
Macroeconomics, Trade and Finance. Identifies main analytical
inconsistencies in the market fundamentalism that has dominated
present reforms. In a firmly based policy-oriented approach,
Ffrench-Davis offers alternative policies to reform the reforms in
the three areas of macroeconomics, trade and finance, seeking for
sustained equitable growth."--BOOK JACKET.
Provides a comprehensive analysis of why reforms in Latin America
have failed in achieving growth and equity. The book focuses on
three strategic areas of reforms of the Washington Consensus:
Macroeconomics, Trade and Finance.
There is growing dissatisfaction with the economic policies
advocated by the IMF and other international financial institutions
- policies that have often resulted in stagnating growth, crises,
and recessions for client countries. This book presents an
alternative to "Washington Consensus" neo-liberal economic policies
by showing that both macro-economic and liberalization policy must
be sensitive to the particular circumstances of developing
countries. One-size-fits-all policy prescriptions are likely to
fail given the vast differences between countries. This book
discusses how alternative approaches to economic policy can better
serve developing countries both in ordinary times and in times of
crisis.
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