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By 2030 more than three quarters of the world's absolute poor are
projected to live in Africa. Accelerating economic growth is key to
rising incomes on the continent, and central to this challenge is
establishing activities that are capable of employing large numbers
of unskilled workers, that can raise productivity through
innovation, and that can power growth through exports. Such
structural transformation is a key driver of growth, and between
1950-1996 about half of the economic catch-up by developing
countries (led by East Asia) was due to rising productivity in
manufacturing combined with growing agricultural output. Africa,
however, has lagged behind. In 2014, the average share of
manufacturing in GDP in sub-Saharan Africa hovered around 10 per
cent, unchanged from the 1970s, leading some observers to be
pessimistic about Africa's potential to catch the wave of sustained
rapid growth and rising incomes. Industries Without Smokestacks:
Industrialization in Africa Reconsidered challenges this view. It
argues that other activities sharing the characteristics of
manufacturing- including tourism, ICT, and other services as well
as food processing and horticulture- are beginning to play a role
analogous to that played by manufacturing in East Asia. This
reflects not only changes in the global organization of industries
since the early era of rapid East Asian growth, but also advantages
unique to Africa. These 'industries without smokestacks' offer new
opportunities for Africa to grow in coming decades.
This report traces the roots of this poor performance to several
policy issues: poor predictability of macroeconomic policy and
economic governance has created an unfavorable climate for private
investment and trade; a tariff structure that dampens export
profitability; industrial policies - indigenization policy in
particular - that undermine investor confidence and inhibits
private investment; and finally, competition-limiting policies
toward services that limit connectivity of Zimbabweans and raise
trade costs. The good news arising from the study is that the
remedies for these policy shortcomings lie in Zimbabwean hands. If
the government were to adopt reforms that reconfigure economy-wide
incentives and trade and industrial policies, it could promote
sustained growth, economic diversification and empowerment of poor
people.
In today's economically integrated world, trade matters more for
development than ever before. This book addresses the key trade
issues relevant to the ongoing multilateral trade negotiations and
the evolution of the world trading system. Topics include: a
general overview of the Doha Round, potential gains from trade
liberalization for developed and developing countries, agriculture,
manufacturing trade, services, trade facilitation, TRIPs and the
regulatory agenda, regional trade agreements, aid for trade and
much more. This is an essential and accessible primer for
policymakers, development practitioners, academics, and
journalists.
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