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In this book new mathematical and statistical techniques that
permit more sophisticated analysis are refined and applied to
questions of current concern in order to understand the forces that
are driving the recent dramatic changes in family patterns. The
areas examined include the impact of the evolving Second
Demographic Transition, where complex patterns of gender dynamics
and social change are re-orienting family life. New analyses of
marriage, cohabitation, union dynamics, and union dissolution
provide a fresh look at the changing family life cycle, emerging
patterns of partner choice, and the impact of union dissolution on
the life course. The demography of kinship is explored, and the
importance of parity progression to the generation of the kinship
web is highlighted. The methodology of population projections by
family status is examined, and new results presented that
demonstrate how recognizing family status advances long term policy
objectives, especially with regard to children and the elderly.
This book applies up-to-date methods to examine the demography of
the family, and will be of value to sociologists, demographers, and
all those who are interested in the family.
This book deals with models that can capture the behavior of
individuals and groups over time. Organizationally, it is divided
into three parts. Part I discusses the basic, decrement-only, life
table and its associated stable population. Part II examines
multistate (or increment-decrement) models and provides the first
comprehensive treatment of those extremely flexible and useful life
table models. Part III looks at "two-sex" models, which
simultaneously incorporate the marriage or fertility behavior of
males and females. Those models are explored more fully and
completely here than has been the case to date, and the importance
of including the experience of both sexes is demonstrated
analytically as weil as empirically. In sum, this book considers a
broad range of population models with a view to showing that such
models can be eminently calculable, clearly interpretable, and
analytically valuable for the study of many kinds of social
behavior. Four appendixes have been added to make the book more
usable. Appendix A provides abrief introduction to calculus and
matrix algebra so that readers can understand, though not
necessarily derive, the equations presented. Appendix B provides an
index of the principal symbols used. Appendix C gives the answers
to the exercises found at the end of each chapter. Those exercises
should be seen as an extension of the text, and are intended to
inform as weil as to challenge.
This book provides an up-to-date survey on the nature, causes, and
patterns of family change. The traditional nuclear family has been
replaced by a multiplicity of other forms, as widespread
cohabitation, high levels of divorce and union dissolution, rising
childlessness, and far below replacement fertility have emerged to
an extent never before seen. Theoretical perspectives on this
“Second Demographic Transition†are presented, highlighting the
dramatic changes in gender roles. New methodological
strategies for assessing family dynamics are presented, from
multistate models of marriage and divorce combined with fertility
to improved techniques for combining census and survey data on the
family to a new approach for disentangling age, period, and cohort
effects. While the volume emphasizes Western nations, insightful
case studies range from analyzing family complexity in cohorts of
parents and children in the UK to the impact of interpartner
violence on family formation, to the emergence of a “gender
war†in South Korea. By providing new insights into where we are
today and how we got here, the book will be of value to all those
interested in the contemporary family.
This volume presents state of the art analyses from scholars
dealing with a range of demographic topics of current concern,
including longevity, mortality and morbidity, migration, and how
population composition impacts intergenerational transfer schemes.
New approaches are applied to such issues as measuring changes in
cohort survivorship in low mortality populations, patterns of
mortality improvement at older ages, and the consequences of
heterogeneity in the susceptibility to death. Studies examine
models of the current status of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, advance
present methods for estimating population change in small areas,
and strive to disentangle age, period, and cohort effects. In sum,
the book addresses key contemporary issues in measuring and
modeling dynamic populations, and advances the frontier of dynamic
demography.
This edited volume offers state-of-the-art research on the dynamics
of contemporary fertility by examining the implications of the
economic and social forces that are driving the rapid change in
fertility behavior, and the changing context, determinants, and
measurement of contemporary human reproduction. The volume explores
new theoretical avenues that seek to incorporate uncertainty,
examine social contagion effects, and explain the rise in
childlessness. Reproductive attitudes are re-examined in chapters
that deal with models of parenthood and with the persistence of
race-ethnic-nativity differences. A new and important subject of
multi-partner fertility is also described by examining it in the
context of total fertility and from the usually neglected
perspective of men. The impact of divorce on fertility, the
measurement of childlessness and the postponement of first births,
developments in assortative mating and fertility, and current
patterns of interracial fertility are also addressed in this
volume. By combining up-to-date research spanning the entire field
to illuminate contemporary developments, the book is a valuable
source for demographers, sociologists, economists, and all those
interested in understanding fertility in today's world.
This is the first book to comprehensively discuss and synthesize
the emerging field of dynamic modeling, i.e. the analysis and
application of population models that have changing vital rates.
Incorporating the latest research, it includes thorough discussions
of population growth and momentum under gradual fertility declines,
the impact of changes in the timing of events on fertility
measures, and the complex relationship between period and cohort
measures. Recently developed models for the analysis of changing
mortality are examined, generalizations of Lotka's fixed rate
stable population model are developed and applied. The book is well
organized and is accessible to those with only a minimal knowledge
of calculus. It begins with a review of fixed rate population
models, from the basic life table to multistate stable populations.
The process of convergence to stability is described, and the
regularities underlying change in the size and composition of any
population are explored.
This book deals with models that can capture the behavior of
individuals and groups over time. Organizationally, it is divided
into three parts. Part I discusses the basic, decrement-only, life
table and its associated stable population. Part II examines
multistate (or increment-decrement) models and provides the first
comprehensive treatment of those extremely flexible and useful life
table models. Part III looks at "two-sex" models, which
simultaneously incorporate the marriage or fertility behavior of
males and females. Those models are explored more fully and
completely here than has been the case to date, and the importance
of including the experience of both sexes is demonstrated
analytically as weil as empirically. In sum, this book considers a
broad range of population models with a view to showing that such
models can be eminently calculable, clearly interpretable, and
analytically valuable for the study of many kinds of social
behavior. Four appendixes have been added to make the book more
usable. Appendix A provides abrief introduction to calculus and
matrix algebra so that readers can understand, though not
necessarily derive, the equations presented. Appendix B provides an
index of the principal symbols used. Appendix C gives the answers
to the exercises found at the end of each chapter. Those exercises
should be seen as an extension of the text, and are intended to
inform as weil as to challenge.
Dynamic Population Models is the first book to comprehensively
discuss and synthesize the emerging field of dynamic modeling.
Incorporating the latest research, it includes thorough discussions
of population growth and momentum under gradual fertility declines,
the impact of changes in the timing of events on fertility
measures, and the complex relationship between period and cohort
measures. The book is designed to be accessible to those with only
a minimal knowledge of calculus.
This edited volume offers state-of-the-art research on the dynamics
of contemporary fertility by examining the implications of the
economic and social forces that are driving the rapid change in
fertility behavior, and the changing context, determinants, and
measurement of contemporary human reproduction. The volume explores
new theoretical avenues that seek to incorporate uncertainty,
examine social contagion effects, and explain the rise in
childlessness. Reproductive attitudes are re-examined in chapters
that deal with models of parenthood and with the persistence of
race-ethnic-nativity differences. A new and important subject of
multi-partner fertility is also described by examining it in the
context of total fertility and from the usually neglected
perspective of men. The impact of divorce on fertility, the
measurement of childlessness and the postponement of first births,
developments in assortative mating and fertility, and current
patterns of interracial fertility are also addressed in this
volume. By combining up-to-date research spanning the entire field
to illuminate contemporary developments, the book is a valuable
source for demographers, sociologists, economists, and all those
interested in understanding fertility in today's world.
In this book new mathematical and statistical techniques that
permit more sophisticated analysis are refined and applied to
questions of current concern in order to understand the forces that
are driving the recent dramatic changes in family patterns. The
areas examined include the impact of the evolving Second
Demographic Transition, where complex patterns of gender dynamics
and social change are re-orienting family life. New analyses of
marriage, cohabitation, union dynamics, and union dissolution
provide a fresh look at the changing family life cycle, emerging
patterns of partner choice, and the impact of union dissolution on
the life course. The demography of kinship is explored, and the
importance of parity progression to the generation of the kinship
web is highlighted. The methodology of population projections by
family status is examined, and new results presented that
demonstrate how recognizing family status advances long term policy
objectives, especially with regard to children and the elderly.
This book applies up-to-date methods to examine the demography of
the family, and will be of value to sociologists, demographers, and
all those who are interested in the family.
This volume presents state of the art analyses from scholars
dealing with a range of demographic topics of current concern,
including longevity, mortality and morbidity, migration, and how
population composition impacts intergenerational transfer schemes.
New approaches are applied to such issues as measuring changes in
cohort survivorship in low mortality populations, patterns of
mortality improvement at older ages, and the consequences of
heterogeneity in the susceptibility to death. Studies examine
models of the current status of the HIV/AIDS epidemic, advance
present methods for estimating population change in small areas,
and strive to disentangle age, period, and cohort effects. In sum,
the book addresses key contemporary issues in measuring and
modeling dynamic populations, and advances the frontier of dynamic
demography.
"From the Sabbath to circumcision, from Hanukkah to the Holocaust,
from bar mitzvah to bagel, how do Jewish religion, history,
holidays, lifestyles, and culture make Jews different, and why is
that difference so distinctive that we carry it from birth to the
grave?" This accessible introduction to Judaism and Jewish life is
especially for Christian readers interested in the deep connections
and distinct differences between their faith and Judaism, but it is
also for Jews looking for ways to understand their religion--and
explain it to others. First released in 2002 and now in an updated
edition.
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