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For many centuries people living on volcanoes have known that the
outset of seismic activity is often a forerunner of a volcanic
eruption. This understand ing allowed people living close to the
sites of the Mt. Nuovo 1538 eruption at Campi Flegrei, Italy, and
of the Mt. Usu 1663 eruption, in Hokkaido, Japan (to quote only two
examples) to flee before the eruptions started. During the second
half of the 19th century seismographs were installed on some
volcanoes, and the link between seismic and eruptive activity
started to be assessed on a firmer scientific basis. The first
systematic observations of the correlations existing between
seismic activity and volcanic eruptions were probably those carried
out at Mt. Vesuvius by Luigi Palmieri in 1856. Palmieri was the
Director of Osservatorio Vesuviano and built an electromagnetic
seismograph with the aim of "making visible the smallest ground
motions by recording them on paper and indicating direction,
intensity and duration." He was able to show the relationship
between earthquakes and the different phases of volcanic activity.
He identified the harmonic tremor which he indicated was a
precursor of volcanic activity: "the characteristic feature of the
ground mo tions preceding eruption is its continuity . . . (before
the eruption of 1861) the electromagnetic seismograph began to show
a continuous tremor." The Palmieri seismograph was also utilized in
Japan until 1883, when it was replaced by the new Gray-Milne
seismographs, and, later, by the Omori in struments."
La Reunion is an oceanic intra-plate volcanic island located at the
southern-most part 0 of the Mascarene Basin at 21 0 07' S, 55 32' E
(Figure 1). It lies south of the Mascarene Plateau and Mauritius
Island but is a distinct topographic feature on the rather flat
ocean bottom of the Mascarene Basin, whose age is paleocene in the
vicinity of the island (Schlich, 1982), and whose lowest point is
more than 4000m deep. La Reunion is ellip tical in shape (50 X 70
km) with a NW-SE elongation. It is composed of two volcanoes: Piton
des Neiges and Piton de la Fournaise. A third volcanic structure
has been recent ly discovered on the east submarine flank of the
island (Unat et aI., submitted). Piton des Neiges, a dormant and
deeply eroded volcano, rises to a height of 3069 m and oc cupies
the northwestern two-thirds of the island. Piton de la Fournaise
(2630 m), one of the most active basaltic volcanoes in the world,
began to grow more than 3. 5 X 1O years ago on the southeast flank
of Piton des Neiges. The evolution of Piton de la Fournaise
(Chevallier and Bachclery, 1981) is marked by the formation of
three sub-concentric nested calderas (Figure 2). The boundaries of
the two older calderas are more or less buried or eroded."
By the year 2000, the number of people at risk from volcanic
hazards is likely to increase to around half a billion. Since 1980,
significant advances have been made in volcano monitoring, the data
from which provides the sole scientific basis for eruption
prediction. Here, internationally renowned and highly experienced
specialists provide 25 comprehensive articles covering a wide range
of related topics: monitoring techniques and data analysis;
modelling of monitoring data and eruptive phenomena; volcanic
hazards and risk assessment; and volcanic emergency management.
Selected case histories of recent volcanic disasters, such as Mount
Pinatubo in the Philippines, demonstrate that effective
communication - between scientists, civil authorities, the media
and the population at risk - is essential to reducing the danger.
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