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In tropical latitudes, monsoons trigger regimes of strong seasonal
rainfall over the continents. Over the West African region, the
rainfall has shown a strong variability from interannual to decadal
time scales. The atmospheric response to global sea surface
temperatures is the leading cause of rainfall variability in the
West African Sahel. This thesis explores changes in the leading
ocean forcing of Sahelian rainfall interannual variability. It
anaylzes the dynamical mechanisms at work to explain the
non-stationary sea surface temperature-forced response of anomalous
rainfall. The underlying multidecadal sea surface temperature
background is raised as a key factor that favors some interannual
teleconnections and inhibits others. Results of this thesis are
relevant for improving the seasonal predictability of summer
rainfall in the Sahel.
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