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To better understand the PLA's ability to employ its developing
capabilities in a variety of potential scenarios, this year's
workshop examined how the PLA learns by doing, specifically through
its exercises and noncombat operations at home and overseas, and
through key logistical and theoretical developments. Key findings
are: 1) recent PLAN exercises and operations point to an increasing
interest in developing expeditionary naval capabilities and a
presence in distant seas, suggesting that a move beyond the current
"near seas" focus is both possible and an extension of existing
efforts; 2) PLA ground force exercises-rather than aiming to
intimidate others by demonstrating the ability to project power
beyond China's borders-focus on moving military power within China,
both to defend China's borders and perhaps as a prelude to military
restructuring in which smaller but more mobile formations could
replace larger and more static ones; 3) through its participation
in international military exercises as well as peacekeeping
operations and humanitarian aid and disaster relief missions, the
PLA is gaining greater capabilities to deploy outside of China's
borders for a a variety of missions; and, 4) PLA operations are
increasingly supported by a modern, civilian-integrated military
logistics network, though a lack of overseas bases continues to
limit the effectiveness of this network as it pertains to overseas
power projection capabilities.
I am pleased that, for the second year in a row, the U.S. Army War
College and The National Bureau of Asian Research (NBR) teamed up
to convene the annual PLA colloquium. Over the years, this event
has successfully increased understanding of China's military and
the multiple aspects of its ongoing modernization effort. Last year
was no exception. On September 28, 2007, under the joint leadership
of the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies Institute and
NBR's Pyle Center for Northeast Asian Studies, approximately 70
leading experts on the People's Liberation Army (PLA) convened at
Carlisle Barracks, PA, for a 2-day discussion on the Chinese
military's human infrastructure. Presentations and discussions at
the conference focused on identifying trends in recruitment,
education, training, personnel management, and demographics within
the PLA.
The U.S. Army War College and the National Bureau of Asian Research
(NBR) are two organizations with which I have a strong connection.
I was in the class of 1976 at Carlisle and I currently serve on the
Board of NBR where I am closely aligned with the Strategic Asia
Program. As such, I was quite pleased when the NBR joined the
continuing efforts of the U.S. Army War College's Strategic Studies
Institute to study developments in China's People's Liberation Army
(PLA) as cosponsors of the 19th PLA Carlisle Conference from
October 6-8, 2006. Right-Sizing the People's Liberation Army:
Exploring the Contours of China's Military is the ninth volume in
this series published by the Strategic Studies Institute and
represents the collective scholarly efforts of those who
contributed to the 2006 conference. The book addresses how the
leadership of China and the PLA view what size of PLA best meets
China's requirements.
This volume addresses how the leadership of China and the PLA view
what size of PLA best meets China's requirements. Among other
things, this analytical process makes important new contributions
on the question of PLA transparency, long an issue among PLA
watchers. A great deal of emphasis has been put on understanding
not only how, but also why a military modernizes itself. Some of
the determining factors are national policies and strategy,
doctrine, organizational structure, missions, and service cultures.
While this list is not exhaustive, it does begin to paint a picture
of just how broad and deep military interests run. It is important
when we look at the structure and strategy for growth within the
Chinese military that we see the world as China sees it. We need to
see a world in which the "Taiwan issue" as well as that of North
Korea and others are not viewed as short-term concerns, but fit
into how China sees itself in a long-term leadership role in the
region and in the world.
The chapters presented in this volume have demonstrated first,
Chinese and PLA leaders have a strong sense of mission and concern
for China's security and well-being. Second, the PLA is committed
to the transformation in military affairs with Chinese
characteristics. Third, the PLA is eager to learn from the U.S.
military to expand and improve its operational capabilities.
Finally, the PLA has made progress in its transformation and
operational capabilities. For a long time, American leaders have
been surprised with the PLA's advances. This volume (and many of
the previous volumes from past PLA conferences) show that these
advances did not come out of the blue. Although much of the
learning and many of the improvements are still far from what is
desired (from Chinese expectations and American critiques), and
some of the learning has even created contradictions for the PLA,
these persistent and diligent learning practices will eventually
bring the PLA to a higher level of proficiency in its capabilities.
The emergence of a much more sophisticated PLA in the coming years
should not be a surprise.
The annual Conference on the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA)
took place at the U.S. Army War College (USAWC), in Carlisle,
Pennsylvania, on October 22-24, 2010.1 The topic for this year's
conference was the "PLA's lessons from Other People's Wars."
Participants at the conference sought to discern what lessons the
PLA has been learning from the strategic and operational
experiences of the armed forces of other countries during the past
3 decades. Why did observers of the PLA want to study what Chinese
military analysts might learned about non-Chinese wars? The answer
is twofold. First, the PLA has not fought an actual war since 1979.
Yet, during the last 3 decades, fundamental changes have taken
place on the battlefield and in the conduct of war. Since the PLA
has not fought since 1979, it had no experience in the changing
face of war, and thus could not follow Mao Zedong's admonition to
"learn by doing"; instead, it must look abroad for ways to discern
the new pattern of warfare in the evolving information age.
Studying Chinese military analysts' observations of non-Chinese
wars therefore provides us a glimpse of what the PLA takes from
others' experience to improve its capability and to prepare itself
for dealing with China's national security issues, such as Taiwan,
the South and East China Sea disputes, and internal unrest in Tibet
and Xinjiang, to name the most obvious ones. Second, Chinese
military analysts have noticeably more freedom in assessing and
commenting on the strength and weakness as well as the success and
fail-ures of other countries' wars. Indeed, for political reasons,
Chinese military analysts have to emphasize the heroics and
triumphs of the PLA's war experience and downplay setbacks and
failures.2 While there is certainly recognition of the daunting
challenges-in Korea, for example, accounts readily acknowledge that
the Chinese People's Volunteers (CPV) were totally unprepared
logistically and devastated by airpower-there are limits to the
levels of candor. To date, there is no critical analysis of the
PLA's claimed success or dismissed failure in the Sino-Vietnamese
Border War of 1979 by Chinese military analysts (however, there are
a few studies done by scholars outside of China3). Studying Chinese
military analysts' observation of other people's wars, therefore,
provide us key hints as to what Chinese military analysts consider
important aspects of current and future military operational
success and failure.
The chapters presented in this volume have demonstrated first,
Chinese and PLA leaders have a strong sense of mission and concern
for China's security and well-being. Second, the PLA is committed
to the transformation in military affairs with Chinese
characteristics. Third, the PLA is eager to learn from the U.S.
military to expand and improve its operational capabilities.
Finally, the PLA has made progress in its transformation and
operational capabilities. For a long time, American leaders have
been surprised with the PLA's advances. This volume (and many of
the previous volumes from past PLA conferences) show that these
advances did not come out of the blue. Although much of the
learning and many of the improvements are still far from what is
desired (from Chinese expectations and American critiques), and
some of the learning has even created contradictions for the PLA,
these persistent and diligent learning practices will eventually
bring the PLA to a higher level of proficiency in its capabilities.
The emergence of a much more sophisticated PLA in the coming years
should not be a surprise.
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